Boca Juniors hold a 3-1 advantage from the first leg of their Copa Sudamericana round-of-16 tie and enter the return fixture in Asunción as clear favorites at 59.5% implied probability. The Argentine side overturned an early deficit with three second-half goals, including strikes from midfielders Santiago Ascacíbar and others, demonstrating superior depth and experience against a Paraguayan Primera side that had shown attacking promise in recent domestic matches. Recoleta’s home advantage and solid recent form offer realistic upset potential reflected in their 15.5% price, yet the two-goal deficit and Boca’s stronger squad quality and international pedigree keep the visitors favored. A draw sits at 24.5%, consistent with the possibility of a low-scoring, cagey affair on Paraguayan soil.