Jannik Sinner enters the 2026 French Open as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus, reflecting his dominant clay-court form this season, including five consecutive Masters 1000 titles and an extended winning streak on the surface. Carlos Alcaraz’s withdrawal due to a right wrist injury has removed the primary obstacle, shifting implied probabilities sharply in Sinner’s favor. Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic sit as the next most backed contenders based on their Roland Garros experience and recent results, while emerging talents like Arthur Fils and Rafael Jodar attract limited support. The market pricing accounts for Sinner’s consistency, head-to-head edges on clay, and the field’s relative depth following the two-time defending champion’s absence.