**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$148,326 Vol.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
96%
Édouard Philippe
85%
Nathalie Arthaud
84%
Éric Zemmour
77%
Jordan Bardella
76%
Bruno Retailleau
75%
Fabien Roussel
69%
Dominique de Villepin
53%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
59%
David Lisnard
50%
Gabriel Attal
42%
Raphaël Glucksmann
41%
Marine Tondelier
37%
François Ruffin
34%
François Hollande
30%
François Asselineau
26%
Marine Le Pen
20%
Sarah Knafo
17%
Juan Branco
17%
Matthieu Pigasse
13%
Gérald Darmanin
10%
Bernard Cazeneuve
10%
Xavier Bertrand
10%
Carole Delga
9%
Jérôme Guedj
9%
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
9%
Philippe de Villiers
9%
Olivier Faure
9%
Jean Castex
8%
Ségolène Royal
8%
Manuel Bompard
7%
Valérie Pécresse
7%
Karim Bouamrane
7%
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
7%
François Bayrou
6%
Delphine Batho
5%
Clémentine Autain
4%
Manuel Valls
4%
Bally Bagayoko
4%
Laurent Wauquiez
4%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
4%
Teddy Riner
3%
Mathilde Panot
3%
Sébastien Lecornu
3%
Élisabeth Borne
3%
Michel Barnier
2%
$148,326 Vol.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
96%
Édouard Philippe
85%
Nathalie Arthaud
84%
Éric Zemmour
77%
Jordan Bardella
76%
Bruno Retailleau
75%
Fabien Roussel
69%
Dominique de Villepin
53%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
59%
David Lisnard
50%
Gabriel Attal
42%
Raphaël Glucksmann
41%
Marine Tondelier
37%
François Ruffin
34%
François Hollande
30%
François Asselineau
26%
Marine Le Pen
20%
Sarah Knafo
17%
Juan Branco
17%
Matthieu Pigasse
13%
Gérald Darmanin
10%
Bernard Cazeneuve
10%
Xavier Bertrand
10%
Carole Delga
9%
Jérôme Guedj
9%
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
9%
Philippe de Villiers
9%
Olivier Faure
9%
Jean Castex
8%
Ségolène Royal
8%
Manuel Bompard
7%
Valérie Pécresse
7%
Karim Bouamrane
7%
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
7%
François Bayrou
6%
Delphine Batho
5%
Clémentine Autain
4%
Manuel Valls
4%
Bally Bagayoko
4%
Laurent Wauquiez
4%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
4%
Teddy Riner
3%
Mathilde Panot
3%
Sébastien Lecornu
3%
Élisabeth Borne
3%
Michel Barnier
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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