Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races both feature open or competitive fields ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and November general election under ranked-choice voting. Incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan faces a close challenge from former Representative Mary Peltola, with recent polls showing margins under 5 points and no clear frontrunner. The governor's race is more fragmented, with Democrats including Tom Begich and Republicans such as Click Bishop and Bernadette Wilson advancing varying numbers of contenders into the general. These dynamics, combined with Alaska's nonpartisan primary and ranked-choice system, sustain high uncertainty around unified party control, as reflected in trader pricing that assigns the largest share to split or unlisted outcomes while treating the races as closely contested.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডDems sweep 36%
Reps sweep 31%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 22%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 10%
Dems sweep
36%
Reps sweep
31%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
22%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
10%
Dems sweep 36%
Reps sweep 31%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 22%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 10%
Dems sweep
36%
Reps sweep
31%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
22%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
10%
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races both feature open or competitive fields ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and November general election under ranked-choice voting. Incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan faces a close challenge from former Representative Mary Peltola, with recent polls showing margins under 5 points and no clear frontrunner. The governor's race is more fragmented, with Democrats including Tom Begich and Republicans such as Click Bishop and Bernadette Wilson advancing varying numbers of contenders into the general. These dynamics, combined with Alaska's nonpartisan primary and ranked-choice system, sustain high uncertainty around unified party control, as reflected in trader pricing that assigns the largest share to split or unlisted outcomes while treating the races as closely contested.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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