The People's Party (PP) holds a commanding lead in the Andalusian regional election as voters head to the polls on May 17, reflecting sustained support for incumbent president Juanma Moreno after consistent polling averages showing the party near or above the absolute majority threshold of 55 seats in the 109-seat parliament. Recent surveys from firms including SigmaDos, GAD3, and 40dB place PP support at 42–45 percent, well ahead of the PSOE, which faces its weakest regional result in decades around 23–26 percent. Vox and smaller lists trail further behind, limiting any viable alternative coalition path. This positioning stems from the PP's record in office and the absence of major last-minute shifts capable of closing the gap. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unusually high turnout in opposition strongholds or a late surge among undecided voters, though current evidence points to limited room for such reversals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPP 100.0%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
PA <1%
$169,898 Vol.
$169,898 Vol.

PP
100%

PSOE-A
<1%

VOX
<1%

PA
<1%

AA
<1%
PP 100.0%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
PA <1%
$169,898 Vol.
$169,898 Vol.

PP
100%

PSOE-A
<1%

VOX
<1%

PA
<1%

AA
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The People's Party (PP) holds a commanding lead in the Andalusian regional election as voters head to the polls on May 17, reflecting sustained support for incumbent president Juanma Moreno after consistent polling averages showing the party near or above the absolute majority threshold of 55 seats in the 109-seat parliament. Recent surveys from firms including SigmaDos, GAD3, and 40dB place PP support at 42–45 percent, well ahead of the PSOE, which faces its weakest regional result in decades around 23–26 percent. Vox and smaller lists trail further behind, limiting any viable alternative coalition path. This positioning stems from the PP's record in office and the absence of major last-minute shifts capable of closing the gap. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unusually high turnout in opposition strongholds or a late surge among undecided voters, though current evidence points to limited room for such reversals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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