Rising energy prices from the Middle East conflict have pushed UK CPI inflation to 3.3% as of March 2026, prompting the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its April decision while signaling upside risks to second-round wage and price effects. Markets now price in roughly 60 basis points of tightening by year-end, shifting from earlier expectations of cuts, as oil prices remain elevated near $108 per barrel and the Bank’s scenarios project inflation climbing further in the second half of 2026. This backdrop underpins the 70% market-implied probability of at least one rate hike during the year. The June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting and upcoming CPI releases will provide key updates on whether persistent inflationary pressures outweigh the loosening labor market.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$27,500 Vol.
$27,500 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$27,500 Vol.
$27,500 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising energy prices from the Middle East conflict have pushed UK CPI inflation to 3.3% as of March 2026, prompting the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its April decision while signaling upside risks to second-round wage and price effects. Markets now price in roughly 60 basis points of tightening by year-end, shifting from earlier expectations of cuts, as oil prices remain elevated near $108 per barrel and the Bank’s scenarios project inflation climbing further in the second half of 2026. This backdrop underpins the 70% market-implied probability of at least one rate hike during the year. The June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting and upcoming CPI releases will provide key updates on whether persistent inflationary pressures outweigh the loosening labor market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
ভলিউম
$27,500শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising energy prices from the Middle East conflict have pushed UK CPI inflation to 3.3% as of March 2026, prompting the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its April decision while signaling upside risks to second-round wage and price effects. Markets now price in roughly 60 basis points of tightening by year-end, shifting from earlier expectations of cuts, as oil prices remain elevated near $108 per barrel and the Bank’s scenarios project inflation climbing further in the second half of 2026. This backdrop underpins the 70% market-implied probability of at least one rate hike during the year. The June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting and upcoming CPI releases will provide key updates on whether persistent inflationary pressures outweigh the loosening labor market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$27,500শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rising energy prices from the Middle East conflict have pushed UK CPI inflation to 3.3% as of March 2026, prompting the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its April decision while signaling upside risks to second-round wage and price effects. Markets now price in roughly 60 basis points of tightening by year-end, shifting from earlier expectations of cuts, as oil prices remain elevated near $108 per barrel and the Bank’s scenarios project inflation climbing further in the second half of 2026. This backdrop underpins the 70% market-implied probability of at least one rate hike during the year. The June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting and upcoming CPI releases will provide key updates on whether persistent inflationary pressures outweigh the loosening labor market.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা