**SpaceX achieved a major milestone with Flight 14 on September 28, 2026, when Starship reached orbit for the first time and deployed 26 operational Starlink V3 satellites, despite one upper-stage Raptor engine shutting down early.** Engineers opted for a controlled early return and Pacific Ocean splashdown after roughly three hours rather than attempting a tower catch, following similar splashdowns in prior tests. This outcome reinforces trader focus on Flight 15 as the likely first opportunity for a Mechazilla tower catch of the upper stage (Ship), consistent with Elon Musk’s statements that the attempt could occur “in a few months” or around year-end 2026/early 2027, assuming regulatory clearance. Ongoing tower and chopstick upgrades—such as shortening the arms and switching to electromechanical actuators for faster response—target the lighter, faster-returning Ship profile, building on three prior successful Super Heavy booster catches. Historical patterns show rapid iteration after suborbital successes, yet engine anomalies, FAA licensing timelines, and the need for precise terminal guidance after orbital reentry remain key variables. Traders are weighing these technical and regulatory catalysts against the absence of any upper-stage catch to date.
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