Recent polling trends in Colombia's presidential race have positioned Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact as the clear first-round frontrunner ahead of the May 31 vote, while Abelardo de la Espriella has gained ground among conservative voters to edge toward the second runoff slot. De la Espriella's independent far-right appeal, emphasizing security and anti-establishment themes, has narrowed the gap with center-right rival Paloma Valencia, whose primary victory has not translated into broader consolidation. With no candidate approaching a first-round majority, traders see the Cepeda-de la Espriella pairing as the most probable runoff matchup on June 21, reflecting fragmented opposition dynamics and Cepeda's steady lead in national surveys.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 75%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 14%
1st Round Outright Winner 12%
Other 3.3%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
75%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
14%
1st Round Outright Winner
12%
Other
3%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 75%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 14%
1st Round Outright Winner 12%
Other 3.3%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
75%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
14%
1st Round Outright Winner
12%
Other
3%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends in Colombia's presidential race have positioned Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact as the clear first-round frontrunner ahead of the May 31 vote, while Abelardo de la Espriella has gained ground among conservative voters to edge toward the second runoff slot. De la Espriella's independent far-right appeal, emphasizing security and anti-establishment themes, has narrowed the gap with center-right rival Paloma Valencia, whose primary victory has not translated into broader consolidation. With no candidate approaching a first-round majority, traders see the Cepeda-de la Espriella pairing as the most probable runoff matchup on June 21, reflecting fragmented opposition dynamics and Cepeda's steady lead in national surveys.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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