Polls position leftist senator Iván Cepeda as the clear first-round frontrunner with support in the mid-to-high 30s, yet consistently below the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a runoff on June 21. This leaves the second advancement slot contested between far-right independent Abelardo de la Espriella and center-right Democratic Center candidate Paloma Valencia, with recent surveys showing de la Espriella holding a modest edge in the low-to-mid 20s while Valencia trails slightly behind. De la Espriella’s visibility from primary results and controversial remarks has consolidated right-wing backing despite criticism, while Valencia’s primary victory and more moderate profile have not yet translated into decisive gains among swing voters. Traders therefore price the Cepeda–de la Espriella pairing highest, reflecting the current polling distribution and limited time before the May 31 vote.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 79%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.0%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 11%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
79%
1st Round Outright Winner
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
11%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Other
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 79%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.0%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 11%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
79%
1st Round Outright Winner
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
11%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Other
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polls position leftist senator Iván Cepeda as the clear first-round frontrunner with support in the mid-to-high 30s, yet consistently below the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a runoff on June 21. This leaves the second advancement slot contested between far-right independent Abelardo de la Espriella and center-right Democratic Center candidate Paloma Valencia, with recent surveys showing de la Espriella holding a modest edge in the low-to-mid 20s while Valencia trails slightly behind. De la Espriella’s visibility from primary results and controversial remarks has consolidated right-wing backing despite criticism, while Valencia’s primary victory and more moderate profile have not yet translated into decisive gains among swing voters. Traders therefore price the Cepeda–de la Espriella pairing highest, reflecting the current polling distribution and limited time before the May 31 vote.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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