Middlesbrough host Millwall in the early stages of the 2026-27 Championship campaign, with the visitors sitting top of the table after two wins and three clean sheets while Boro sit mid-table following a narrow home win over Lincoln and a 1-2 defeat at Blackburn. Millwall’s strong start under their manager, built on defensive organization and contributions from forwards like Josh Coburn, underpins their 32% implied probability, though Middlesbrough’s home record and potential returns from the treatment room—including centre-backs Adilson Malanda and Sam Byram—support the hosts’ narrow 42.5% edge. Tommy Conway remains Middlesbrough’s main long-term absentee, while Millwall continue to manage absences in midfield and attack. Recent head-to-head meetings have been low-scoring with few draws, aligning with the 29.5% draw price in a fixture that offers limited separation between the sides.