Charles Leclerc’s heavy crash into the barriers at Parabolica on lap 2 of the 2026 Italian Grand Prix at Monza triggered an immediate safety car followed by a red flag, halting the race for roughly 30 minutes while marshals repaired the damaged tire wall. The incident, which echoed Leclerc’s similar high-speed exit at the same corner in 2020, occurred amid early chaos that also included contact between the two Ferraris and position changes at the front involving George Russell and Pierre Gasly. With the red flag already deployed and confirmed by official timing and broadcasts, trader consensus on a “yes” outcome has solidified near certainty. A red flag is now a matter of record regardless of the restart or any later developments, though markets of this type resolve on the presence of at least one such stoppage during the scheduled event.