Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92.5% implied probability against a hantavirus pandemic in 2026, driven by the swift containment of a recent Andes virus (ANDV) cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship. As of May 13, ECDC reports 11 cases (nine confirmed, two probable) and three deaths among passengers exposed initially to rodents in Argentina, with limited person-to-person transmission—unique to ANDV but requiring prolonged close contact and occurring in just 2-5% of cases historically. WHO and CDC assess global and U.S. risks as low, citing no sustained community spread despite ongoing 42-day contact tracing. Biological barriers, including rarity of human-to-human chains beyond clusters and typical annual global caseloads under 300, underpin this conviction. A shift would need confirmed community outbreaks or enhanced transmissibility, with surveillance updates from agencies like CDC imminent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
$9,249,840 Vol.
$9,249,840 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$9,249,840 Vol.
$9,249,840 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92.5% implied probability against a hantavirus pandemic in 2026, driven by the swift containment of a recent Andes virus (ANDV) cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship. As of May 13, ECDC reports 11 cases (nine confirmed, two probable) and three deaths among passengers exposed initially to rodents in Argentina, with limited person-to-person transmission—unique to ANDV but requiring prolonged close contact and occurring in just 2-5% of cases historically. WHO and CDC assess global and U.S. risks as low, citing no sustained community spread despite ongoing 42-day contact tracing. Biological barriers, including rarity of human-to-human chains beyond clusters and typical annual global caseloads under 300, underpin this conviction. A shift would need confirmed community outbreaks or enhanced transmissibility, with surveillance updates from agencies like CDC imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
ভলিউম
$9,249,840শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92.5% implied probability against a hantavirus pandemic in 2026, driven by the swift containment of a recent Andes virus (ANDV) cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship. As of May 13, ECDC reports 11 cases (nine confirmed, two probable) and three deaths among passengers exposed initially to rodents in Argentina, with limited person-to-person transmission—unique to ANDV but requiring prolonged close contact and occurring in just 2-5% of cases historically. WHO and CDC assess global and U.S. risks as low, citing no sustained community spread despite ongoing 42-day contact tracing. Biological barriers, including rarity of human-to-human chains beyond clusters and typical annual global caseloads under 300, underpin this conviction. A shift would need confirmed community outbreaks or enhanced transmissibility, with surveillance updates from agencies like CDC imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$9,261,607শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92.5% implied probability against a hantavirus pandemic in 2026, driven by the swift containment of a recent Andes virus (ANDV) cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship. As of May 13, ECDC reports 11 cases (nine confirmed, two probable) and three deaths among passengers exposed initially to rodents in Argentina, with limited person-to-person transmission—unique to ANDV but requiring prolonged close contact and occurring in just 2-5% of cases historically. WHO and CDC assess global and U.S. risks as low, citing no sustained community spread despite ongoing 42-day contact tracing. Biological barriers, including rarity of human-to-human chains beyond clusters and typical annual global caseloads under 300, underpin this conviction. A shift would need confirmed community outbreaks or enhanced transmissibility, with surveillance updates from agencies like CDC imminent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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