Recent U.S. labor market data show the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent in April 2026, with nonfarm payrolls adding a modest 115,000 jobs and broader measures like the U-6 rate edging higher to 8.2 percent. Slowing monthly job gains, declining labor-force participation, and reduced net migration have created a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium that analysts expect will push the rate modestly higher over the remainder of the year. Forecasters currently project a 2026 peak near 4.8 percent, reflecting softer GDP growth around 1.8–2.1 percent and ongoing adjustments to prior strong employment levels. Upcoming catalysts include the May employment report, Federal Reserve policy communications, and any shifts in fiscal or immigration policy that could alter hiring trends and the market-implied path for the unemployment peak.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$388,682 Vol.
Jan 10, 2026
5.0%
28%
5.5%
14%
6.0%
13%
7.0%
10%
10.0%
4%
$388,682 Vol.
5.0%
$102,277 Vol.
28%
5.5%
$186,719 Vol.
14%
6.0%
$52,180 Vol.
13%
7.0%
$21,511 Vol.
10%
10.0%
$25,994 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent U.S. labor market data show the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent in April 2026, with nonfarm payrolls adding a modest 115,000 jobs and broader measures like the U-6 rate edging higher to 8.2 percent. Slowing monthly job gains, declining labor-force participation, and reduced net migration have created a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium that analysts expect will push the rate modestly higher over the remainder of the year. Forecasters currently project a 2026 peak near 4.8 percent, reflecting softer GDP growth around 1.8–2.1 percent and ongoing adjustments to prior strong employment levels. Upcoming catalysts include the May employment report, Federal Reserve policy communications, and any shifts in fiscal or immigration policy that could alter hiring trends and the market-implied path for the unemployment peak.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
ভলিউম
$388,682শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent U.S. labor market data show the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent in April 2026, with nonfarm payrolls adding a modest 115,000 jobs and broader measures like the U-6 rate edging higher to 8.2 percent. Slowing monthly job gains, declining labor-force participation, and reduced net migration have created a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium that analysts expect will push the rate modestly higher over the remainder of the year. Forecasters currently project a 2026 peak near 4.8 percent, reflecting softer GDP growth around 1.8–2.1 percent and ongoing adjustments to prior strong employment levels. Upcoming catalysts include the May employment report, Federal Reserve policy communications, and any shifts in fiscal or immigration policy that could alter hiring trends and the market-implied path for the unemployment peak.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ভলিউম
$388,682শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. labor market data show the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent in April 2026, with nonfarm payrolls adding a modest 115,000 jobs and broader measures like the U-6 rate edging higher to 8.2 percent. Slowing monthly job gains, declining labor-force participation, and reduced net migration have created a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium that analysts expect will push the rate modestly higher over the remainder of the year. Forecasters currently project a 2026 peak near 4.8 percent, reflecting softer GDP growth around 1.8–2.1 percent and ongoing adjustments to prior strong employment levels. Upcoming catalysts include the May employment report, Federal Reserve policy communications, and any shifts in fiscal or immigration policy that could alter hiring trends and the market-implied path for the unemployment peak.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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