Trader consensus prices an 80.5% implied probability on eight or more magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide by June 30, 2026—per USGS catalog criteria—reflecting five confirmed events since December 4, 2025 (including April's M7.4 off Indonesia and M7.4 near Japan), against a historical global average of about 16 M7+ annually or 1.3 monthly. This pace, driven by ongoing tectonic strain along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones where most great quakes occur, positions 8+ as leading, with exactly seven at 18.9% anticipating two more in the remaining 47 days. No M7+ since April 20 amid stable seismic rates; USGS real-time monitoring tracks potential aftershocks or swarms in active regions like Vanuatu and Tonga that could tip totals higher, though short-term forecasts remain inherently uncertain due to chaotic fault dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড৩০ জুনের মধ্যে কতগুলি ৭. ০ বা তার বেশি ভূমিকম্প হয়েছে?
৩০ জুনের মধ্যে কতগুলি ৭. ০ বা তার বেশি ভূমিকম্প হয়েছে?
$1,852,663 Vol.
$1,852,663 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
৭
19%
৮+
78%
$1,852,663 Vol.
$1,852,663 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
৭
$288,176 Vol.
19%
৮+
$550,902 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Trader consensus prices an 80.5% implied probability on eight or more magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide by June 30, 2026—per USGS catalog criteria—reflecting five confirmed events since December 4, 2025 (including April's M7.4 off Indonesia and M7.4 near Japan), against a historical global average of about 16 M7+ annually or 1.3 monthly. This pace, driven by ongoing tectonic strain along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones where most great quakes occur, positions 8+ as leading, with exactly seven at 18.9% anticipating two more in the remaining 47 days. No M7+ since April 20 amid stable seismic rates; USGS real-time monitoring tracks potential aftershocks or swarms in active regions like Vanuatu and Tonga that could tip totals higher, though short-term forecasts remain inherently uncertain due to chaotic fault dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,852,663শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Trader consensus prices an 80.5% implied probability on eight or more magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide by June 30, 2026—per USGS catalog criteria—reflecting five confirmed events since December 4, 2025 (including April's M7.4 off Indonesia and M7.4 near Japan), against a historical global average of about 16 M7+ annually or 1.3 monthly. This pace, driven by ongoing tectonic strain along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones where most great quakes occur, positions 8+ as leading, with exactly seven at 18.9% anticipating two more in the remaining 47 days. No M7+ since April 20 amid stable seismic rates; USGS real-time monitoring tracks potential aftershocks or swarms in active regions like Vanuatu and Tonga that could tip totals higher, though short-term forecasts remain inherently uncertain due to chaotic fault dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
ভলিউম
$1,852,663শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices an 80.5% implied probability on eight or more magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide by June 30, 2026—per USGS catalog criteria—reflecting five confirmed events since December 4, 2025 (including April's M7.4 off Indonesia and M7.4 near Japan), against a historical global average of about 16 M7+ annually or 1.3 monthly. This pace, driven by ongoing tectonic strain along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones where most great quakes occur, positions 8+ as leading, with exactly seven at 18.9% anticipating two more in the remaining 47 days. No M7+ since April 20 amid stable seismic rates; USGS real-time monitoring tracks potential aftershocks or swarms in active regions like Vanuatu and Tonga that could tip totals higher, though short-term forecasts remain inherently uncertain due to chaotic fault dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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