Trader consensus clusters around 11–16 total magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes for 2026, with 14–16 (29%) edging 11–13 (27%), reflecting USGS seismic catalog data showing five events through May 13—a M7.1 offshore Sabah, Malaysia (Feb. 22); M7.5 near Tonga (Mar. 24); M7.3 near Vanuatu (Mar. 30); M7.4 near Indonesia (Apr. 1); and M7.4 near Miyako, Japan (Apr. 20). This year-to-date pace projects to about 14 annually, slightly below the long-term global average of 15–20 under the Gutenberg-Richter law, where events follow a Poisson distribution prone to clusters or lulls. A three-week quiet period since the Japan quake bolsters lower bins, while potential aftershocks in Pacific Ring of Fire zones could push toward 17+. USGS continuous monitoring will refine counts daily toward year-end resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড2026 সালে কতগুলি 7.0 বা তার বেশি ভূমিকম্প হয়েছে?
2026 সালে কতগুলি 7.0 বা তার বেশি ভূমিকম্প হয়েছে?
১৪–১৬ 29%
১১–১৩ 27%
১৭–১৯ 21%
২০+ 11.4%
$1,304,920 Vol.
$1,304,920 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
৫–৭
1%
৮–১০
8%
১১–১৩
27%
১৪–১৬
29%
১৭–১৯
21%
২০+
11%
১৪–১৬ 29%
১১–১৩ 27%
১৭–১৯ 21%
২০+ 11.4%
$1,304,920 Vol.
$1,304,920 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
৫–৭
$70,054 Vol.
1%
৮–১০
$129,408 Vol.
8%
১১–১৩
$410,306 Vol.
27%
১৪–১৬
$183,898 Vol.
29%
১৭–১৯
$206,151 Vol.
21%
২০+
$62,164 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Trader consensus clusters around 11–16 total magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes for 2026, with 14–16 (29%) edging 11–13 (27%), reflecting USGS seismic catalog data showing five events through May 13—a M7.1 offshore Sabah, Malaysia (Feb. 22); M7.5 near Tonga (Mar. 24); M7.3 near Vanuatu (Mar. 30); M7.4 near Indonesia (Apr. 1); and M7.4 near Miyako, Japan (Apr. 20). This year-to-date pace projects to about 14 annually, slightly below the long-term global average of 15–20 under the Gutenberg-Richter law, where events follow a Poisson distribution prone to clusters or lulls. A three-week quiet period since the Japan quake bolsters lower bins, while potential aftershocks in Pacific Ring of Fire zones could push toward 17+. USGS continuous monitoring will refine counts daily toward year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,304,920শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Trader consensus clusters around 11–16 total magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes for 2026, with 14–16 (29%) edging 11–13 (27%), reflecting USGS seismic catalog data showing five events through May 13—a M7.1 offshore Sabah, Malaysia (Feb. 22); M7.5 near Tonga (Mar. 24); M7.3 near Vanuatu (Mar. 30); M7.4 near Indonesia (Apr. 1); and M7.4 near Miyako, Japan (Apr. 20). This year-to-date pace projects to about 14 annually, slightly below the long-term global average of 15–20 under the Gutenberg-Richter law, where events follow a Poisson distribution prone to clusters or lulls. A three-week quiet period since the Japan quake bolsters lower bins, while potential aftershocks in Pacific Ring of Fire zones could push toward 17+. USGS continuous monitoring will refine counts daily toward year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
ভলিউম
$1,304,920শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus clusters around 11–16 total magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes for 2026, with 14–16 (29%) edging 11–13 (27%), reflecting USGS seismic catalog data showing five events through May 13—a M7.1 offshore Sabah, Malaysia (Feb. 22); M7.5 near Tonga (Mar. 24); M7.3 near Vanuatu (Mar. 30); M7.4 near Indonesia (Apr. 1); and M7.4 near Miyako, Japan (Apr. 20). This year-to-date pace projects to about 14 annually, slightly below the long-term global average of 15–20 under the Gutenberg-Richter law, where events follow a Poisson distribution prone to clusters or lulls. A three-week quiet period since the Japan quake bolsters lower bins, while potential aftershocks in Pacific Ring of Fire zones could push toward 17+. USGS continuous monitoring will refine counts daily toward year-end resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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