Recent polls show Icelandic voters split almost evenly on resuming EU accession talks, with final surveys from Maskína and Gallup placing Yes and No within the statistical margin of error around 50 percent each. Fisheries sovereignty remains the dominant concern for the No side, while Yes supporters emphasize potential relief from high interest rates and greater economic stability. Geopolitical factors, including security in the North Atlantic, have kept the issue salient but have not shifted the balance decisively. High advance turnout and the referendum's status as only the first step—any accession treaty would require a second vote—add layers of uncertainty. These dynamics sustain the tight market on narrow margins, with separation likely hinging on final turnout and how undecided voters break on fisheries concessions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNo <3% 42%
Yes <3% 32%
No 3–6% 29%
No 12–15% 18%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 29, 2026
Yes 15%+
4%
Yes 12–15%
9%
Yes 9–12%
1%
Yes 6–9%
10%
Yes 3–6%
45%
Yes <3%
38%
No <3%
53%
No 3–6%
29%
No 6–9%
10%
No 9–12%
18%
No 12–15%
18%
No 15%+
17%
No <3% 42%
Yes <3% 32%
No 3–6% 29%
No 12–15% 18%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 29, 2026
Yes 15%+
$108 Vol.
4%
Yes 12–15%
$146 Vol.
9%
Yes 9–12%
$21 Vol.
1%
Yes 6–9%
$11 Vol.
10%
Yes 3–6%
$47 Vol.
45%
Yes <3%
$64 Vol.
38%
No <3%
$43 Vol.
53%
No 3–6%
$31 Vol.
29%
No 6–9%
$24 Vol.
10%
No 9–12%
$22 Vol.
18%
No 12–15%
$86 Vol.
18%
No 15%+
$16 Vol.
17%
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polls show Icelandic voters split almost evenly on resuming EU accession talks, with final surveys from Maskína and Gallup placing Yes and No within the statistical margin of error around 50 percent each. Fisheries sovereignty remains the dominant concern for the No side, while Yes supporters emphasize potential relief from high interest rates and greater economic stability. Geopolitical factors, including security in the North Atlantic, have kept the issue salient but have not shifted the balance decisively. High advance turnout and the referendum's status as only the first step—any accession treaty would require a second vote—add layers of uncertainty. These dynamics sustain the tight market on narrow margins, with separation likely hinging on final turnout and how undecided voters break on fisheries concessions.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 12:19 PM ET
ভলিউম
$620শেষ তারিখ
Aug 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 12:19 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polls show Icelandic voters split almost evenly on resuming EU accession talks, with final surveys from Maskína and Gallup placing Yes and No within the statistical margin of error around 50 percent each. Fisheries sovereignty remains the dominant concern for the No side, while Yes supporters emphasize potential relief from high interest rates and greater economic stability. Geopolitical factors, including security in the North Atlantic, have kept the issue salient but have not shifted the balance decisively. High advance turnout and the referendum's status as only the first step—any accession treaty would require a second vote—add layers of uncertainty. These dynamics sustain the tight market on narrow margins, with separation likely hinging on final turnout and how undecided voters break on fisheries concessions.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ভলিউম
$620শেষ তারিখ
Aug 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 12:19 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show Icelandic voters split almost evenly on resuming EU accession talks, with final surveys from Maskína and Gallup placing Yes and No within the statistical margin of error around 50 percent each. Fisheries sovereignty remains the dominant concern for the No side, while Yes supporters emphasize potential relief from high interest rates and greater economic stability. Geopolitical factors, including security in the North Atlantic, have kept the issue salient but have not shifted the balance decisively. High advance turnout and the referendum's status as only the first step—any accession treaty would require a second vote—add layers of uncertainty. These dynamics sustain the tight market on narrow margins, with separation likely hinging on final turnout and how undecided voters break on fisheries concessions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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