Recent upward revisions to RBI inflation projections for FY27—to 5.1 percent, with quarterly peaks near 5.9 percent—reflect heightened risks from the Middle East conflict elevating global energy and fertilizer costs, which have lifted May 2026 CPI to 3.93 percent and food inflation to 4.78 percent. Persistent supply-chain pressures, potential monsoon shortfalls, and a neutral monetary policy stance holding the repo rate at 5.25 percent reinforce trader expectations that annual inflation will exceed 4.50 percent. Market-implied odds heavily favor this range as the consensus view of sustained above-target pressures through year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড4.50%+ 62%
3.75% to 4.49% 17.0%
3.00% to 3.74% 11.8%
<0.75% 2.8%
$61,929 Vol.
$61,929 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
3%
0.75% to 1.49%
1%
1.50% to 2.24%
1%
2.25% to 2.99%
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
12%
3.75% to 4.49%
17%
4.50%+
67%
4.50%+ 62%
3.75% to 4.49% 17.0%
3.00% to 3.74% 11.8%
<0.75% 2.8%
$61,929 Vol.
$61,929 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$838 Vol.
3%
0.75% to 1.49%
$563 Vol.
1%
1.50% to 2.24%
$463 Vol.
1%
2.25% to 2.99%
$24,265 Vol.
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
$768 Vol.
12%
3.75% to 4.49%
$23,481 Vol.
17%
4.50%+
$11,551 Vol.
67%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent upward revisions to RBI inflation projections for FY27—to 5.1 percent, with quarterly peaks near 5.9 percent—reflect heightened risks from the Middle East conflict elevating global energy and fertilizer costs, which have lifted May 2026 CPI to 3.93 percent and food inflation to 4.78 percent. Persistent supply-chain pressures, potential monsoon shortfalls, and a neutral monetary policy stance holding the repo rate at 5.25 percent reinforce trader expectations that annual inflation will exceed 4.50 percent. Market-implied odds heavily favor this range as the consensus view of sustained above-target pressures through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
ভলিউম
$61,929শেষ তারিখ
Jan 12, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent upward revisions to RBI inflation projections for FY27—to 5.1 percent, with quarterly peaks near 5.9 percent—reflect heightened risks from the Middle East conflict elevating global energy and fertilizer costs, which have lifted May 2026 CPI to 3.93 percent and food inflation to 4.78 percent. Persistent supply-chain pressures, potential monsoon shortfalls, and a neutral monetary policy stance holding the repo rate at 5.25 percent reinforce trader expectations that annual inflation will exceed 4.50 percent. Market-implied odds heavily favor this range as the consensus view of sustained above-target pressures through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
ভলিউম
$61,929শেষ তারিখ
Jan 12, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward revisions to RBI inflation projections for FY27—to 5.1 percent, with quarterly peaks near 5.9 percent—reflect heightened risks from the Middle East conflict elevating global energy and fertilizer costs, which have lifted May 2026 CPI to 3.93 percent and food inflation to 4.78 percent. Persistent supply-chain pressures, potential monsoon shortfalls, and a neutral monetary policy stance holding the repo rate at 5.25 percent reinforce trader expectations that annual inflation will exceed 4.50 percent. Market-implied odds heavily favor this range as the consensus view of sustained above-target pressures through year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা