Iran's political landscape has shifted dramatically since the February 28, 2026, U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during the ongoing conflict. The Assembly of Experts selected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March, consolidating clerical and IRGC influence amid wartime pressures. Mojtaba has remained largely absent from public view and key negotiations since, prompting questions over whether real authority rests with security elites rather than the supreme leader's office. Ongoing diplomatic talks with the United States, internal regime debates over concessions, and the absence of major new leadership announcements have kept trader focus on potential further transitions through mid-2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$13,735,057 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
৩১ মে
7%
৩০ জুন
14%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
34%
$13,735,057 Vol.
৩১ মে
$2,026,431 Vol.
7%
৩০ জুন
$1,113,218 Vol.
14%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
$2,399,528 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's political landscape has shifted dramatically since the February 28, 2026, U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during the ongoing conflict. The Assembly of Experts selected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March, consolidating clerical and IRGC influence amid wartime pressures. Mojtaba has remained largely absent from public view and key negotiations since, prompting questions over whether real authority rests with security elites rather than the supreme leader's office. Ongoing diplomatic talks with the United States, internal regime debates over concessions, and the absence of major new leadership announcements have kept trader focus on potential further transitions through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
ভলিউম
$13,735,057শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's political landscape has shifted dramatically since the February 28, 2026, U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during the ongoing conflict. The Assembly of Experts selected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March, consolidating clerical and IRGC influence amid wartime pressures. Mojtaba has remained largely absent from public view and key negotiations since, prompting questions over whether real authority rests with security elites rather than the supreme leader's office. Ongoing diplomatic talks with the United States, internal regime debates over concessions, and the absence of major new leadership announcements have kept trader focus on potential further transitions through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$13,735,057শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's political landscape has shifted dramatically since the February 28, 2026, U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during the ongoing conflict. The Assembly of Experts selected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March, consolidating clerical and IRGC influence amid wartime pressures. Mojtaba has remained largely absent from public view and key negotiations since, prompting questions over whether real authority rests with security elites rather than the supreme leader's office. Ongoing diplomatic talks with the United States, internal regime debates over concessions, and the absence of major new leadership announcements have kept trader focus on potential further transitions through mid-2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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