Real Oviedo's mathematical relegation after 18 defeats and just 29 points has locked in one spot, but the battle for the other two remains intensely competitive with five teams—Elche, Mallorca, Levante, and Girona all on 39 points after 35-36 games, and Alavés on 40—separated by goal difference alone entering the final two matchdays. Alavés' stunning 1-0 upset over champions Barcelona yesterday propelled them to 15th, boosting survival hopes amid poor recent form from rivals like Girona. Trader consensus reflects this chaos through fragmented implied probabilities across clubs like Alavés, Sevilla, Valencia, and Mallorca, factoring tight head-to-heads, home form, and schedule strength in the run-in, including tonight's Valencia-Ray Vallencano clash. Even 8th-placed Real Sociedad isn't fully safe, underscoring the razor-thin margins.