**Zoran Janković leads the Ljubljana mayoral race at 66.5% implied probability ahead of the November 15 vote, reflecting his two-decade incumbency and repeated first-round victories since 2006.** Recent developments include his October announcements of traffic-reduction measures and the "Supermesto" long-term vision emphasizing housing supply and public transport, alongside opposition criticism over projects like channel C0 and earlier parking referendums that highlighted voter fatigue. Main challengers Anton Rop and Luka Mesec sit at 12.5% each, with lower odds for Aleš Primc, Gregor Novak, Jasmin Feratović, Mihael Jarc, and Apolonija Simon at 3.6%; their campaigns focus on transparency, environmental protection, and alternative governance but face a fragmented field. Trader consensus appears driven by Janković's organizational strength and historical margins, tempered by active opposition protests and potential vote-splitting from parties like Svoboda considering independent bids.