Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei’s death in February strikes, yet he has issued only written messages, decrees, and occasional unverified or undated footage since then. Regime officials cite security concerns after the attacks, while reports reference possible injuries that have kept him from public view during funerals, memorials, and official events attended by other family members. Recent claims from the president, family members, and state media describe private meetings and good health, alongside short video releases intended to address speculation. These dynamics shape trader assessments of whether security protocols or health constraints will permit a verifiable appearance by the market’s deadline amid ongoing regional tensions.