The Oklahoma City Thunder enter the Western Conference Finals as the top seed with a 64-18 regular-season mark and an undefeated playoff run featuring sweeps of the Suns and Lakers, giving them clear rest and momentum advantages heading into Game 1 against the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs, the No. 2 seed at 62-20, advanced with a six-game series win over the Timberwolves and hold a 4-1 regular-season edge over Oklahoma City, including their NBA Cup victory. Trader consensus reflects the Thunder’s home-court start, league-leading defense, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s MVP form as the primary drivers of their higher implied probability, while Victor Wembanyama’s interior dominance and the Spurs’ recent offensive outbursts keep San Antonio competitive in what shapes up as a matchup defined by contrasting styles and youth.