Stephen Curry’s recent two-year, $116 million extension with the Golden State Warriors, signed in late September 2026, anchors trader sentiment at a 99.6% implied probability he remains with the franchise. The 38-year-old point guard, a 2009 draftee and four-time champion who has spent his entire NBA career in the Bay Area, accepted roughly $20 million below the maximum to create salary-cap flexibility for roster moves. He has consistently described the Warriors as “home” and stated he has no interest in free agency or playing elsewhere. While the deal includes a player option for 2028-29, Curry’s repeated public commitment, combined with the security of the new contract through at least 2027-28, leaves little room for near-term departure. Only an unforeseen injury, sharp performance decline, or major organizational shift years from now could realistically reopen the possibility.