Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a steady lead in recent polls for New Hampshire's 2026 gubernatorial race, driving trader consensus toward a 75% implied probability of a Republican victory. The latest University of New Hampshire survey from April 23 showed Ayotte at 47% among likely voters to Democratic primary leader Cinde Warmington's 39%, with a similar 46-39 edge in the March Saint Anselm College poll. These margins reflect Ayotte's incumbency advantage in the swing state, bolstered by her 2024 nine-point win, despite a dip in approval ratings earlier this year. Democratic primaries on September 8 could solidify Warmington or elevate challenger Jon Kiper, but current polling trends favor the GOP hold amid no major shifts in the past month.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
76%
Democrat
23%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$3,058 Vol.
76%
Democrat
$5,121 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a steady lead in recent polls for New Hampshire's 2026 gubernatorial race, driving trader consensus toward a 75% implied probability of a Republican victory. The latest University of New Hampshire survey from April 23 showed Ayotte at 47% among likely voters to Democratic primary leader Cinde Warmington's 39%, with a similar 46-39 edge in the March Saint Anselm College poll. These margins reflect Ayotte's incumbency advantage in the swing state, bolstered by her 2024 nine-point win, despite a dip in approval ratings earlier this year. Democratic primaries on September 8 could solidify Warmington or elevate challenger Jon Kiper, but current polling trends favor the GOP hold amid no major shifts in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$8,180শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a steady lead in recent polls for New Hampshire's 2026 gubernatorial race, driving trader consensus toward a 75% implied probability of a Republican victory. The latest University of New Hampshire survey from April 23 showed Ayotte at 47% among likely voters to Democratic primary leader Cinde Warmington's 39%, with a similar 46-39 edge in the March Saint Anselm College poll. These margins reflect Ayotte's incumbency advantage in the swing state, bolstered by her 2024 nine-point win, despite a dip in approval ratings earlier this year. Democratic primaries on September 8 could solidify Warmington or elevate challenger Jon Kiper, but current polling trends favor the GOP hold amid no major shifts in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$8,180শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a steady lead in recent polls for New Hampshire's 2026 gubernatorial race, driving trader consensus toward a 75% implied probability of a Republican victory. The latest University of New Hampshire survey from April 23 showed Ayotte at 47% among likely voters to Democratic primary leader Cinde Warmington's 39%, with a similar 46-39 edge in the March Saint Anselm College poll. These margins reflect Ayotte's incumbency advantage in the swing state, bolstered by her 2024 nine-point win, despite a dip in approval ratings earlier this year. Democratic primaries on September 8 could solidify Warmington or elevate challenger Jon Kiper, but current polling trends favor the GOP hold amid no major shifts in the past month.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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