New Mexico's open gubernatorial contest features Democrat Deb Haaland, the former U.S. Interior Secretary who secured her party's nomination after the June primaries, against Republican Gregg Hull, the former Rio Rancho mayor who emerged from a three-way GOP primary. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 90.5% implied probability due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt in recent statewide races, Haaland's substantial name recognition and fundraising edge (including a reported multi-to-one cash advantage heading into the general), and structural factors such as voter registration patterns favoring Democrats. Hull's campaign has highlighted local issues and secured a recent endorsement from a former independent candidate, yet these have not shifted the broad market assessment. Potential shifts could arise from national political trends, turnout variations in key regions, or late developments in economic or public-safety conditions that alter voter priorities before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$23,008 Vol.
$23,008 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
91%
Republican
9%
$23,008 Vol.
$23,008 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$16,559 Vol.
91%
Republican
$6,449 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Mexico's open gubernatorial contest features Democrat Deb Haaland, the former U.S. Interior Secretary who secured her party's nomination after the June primaries, against Republican Gregg Hull, the former Rio Rancho mayor who emerged from a three-way GOP primary. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 90.5% implied probability due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt in recent statewide races, Haaland's substantial name recognition and fundraising edge (including a reported multi-to-one cash advantage heading into the general), and structural factors such as voter registration patterns favoring Democrats. Hull's campaign has highlighted local issues and secured a recent endorsement from a former independent candidate, yet these have not shifted the broad market assessment. Potential shifts could arise from national political trends, turnout variations in key regions, or late developments in economic or public-safety conditions that alter voter priorities before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
ভলিউম
$23,008শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Mexico's open gubernatorial contest features Democrat Deb Haaland, the former U.S. Interior Secretary who secured her party's nomination after the June primaries, against Republican Gregg Hull, the former Rio Rancho mayor who emerged from a three-way GOP primary. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 90.5% implied probability due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt in recent statewide races, Haaland's substantial name recognition and fundraising edge (including a reported multi-to-one cash advantage heading into the general), and structural factors such as voter registration patterns favoring Democrats. Hull's campaign has highlighted local issues and secured a recent endorsement from a former independent candidate, yet these have not shifted the broad market assessment. Potential shifts could arise from national political trends, turnout variations in key regions, or late developments in economic or public-safety conditions that alter voter priorities before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$23,008শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Mexico's open gubernatorial contest features Democrat Deb Haaland, the former U.S. Interior Secretary who secured her party's nomination after the June primaries, against Republican Gregg Hull, the former Rio Rancho mayor who emerged from a three-way GOP primary. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 90.5% implied probability due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt in recent statewide races, Haaland's substantial name recognition and fundraising edge (including a reported multi-to-one cash advantage heading into the general), and structural factors such as voter registration patterns favoring Democrats. Hull's campaign has highlighted local issues and secured a recent endorsement from a former independent candidate, yet these have not shifted the broad market assessment. Potential shifts could arise from national political trends, turnout variations in key regions, or late developments in economic or public-safety conditions that alter voter priorities before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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