**Nicușor Dan’s five-year presidential term, secured with a 53.6% runoff victory in May 2025, runs through 2030 and provides the primary structural barrier to removal in 2026.** Romania’s president holds significant powers over national security and foreign policy but relies on parliamentary majorities for government formation. Following the May 2026 no-confidence vote that toppled Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan’s coalition, Dan has actively managed the resulting deadlock by nominating successive prime ministerial candidates, including Adrian Vestea in June 2026, while resisting calls for snap parliamentary elections that could empower far-right opposition parties like AUR. Impeachment threats have surfaced amid coalition negotiations and polling showing mixed public approval (around 33% positive in early 2026), yet no successful proceedings have advanced. Recent moves, such as announcing a cross-party agreement on euro adoption, further signal institutional continuity rather than disruption. Trader consensus reflected in the 73.5% “No” probability aligns with the absence of decisive legal or parliamentary actions that would trigger early exit before year-end.