With the 2027 Oscars still months away, trader sentiment in the Best Adapted Screenplay market shows a tightly contested field where no single film has pulled decisively ahead. The Odyssey leads at 42% implied probability, followed by Saturn Return and Cry to Heaven in the low-to-mid 30s, reflecting early buzz around high-profile literary adaptations and established directors. Project Hail Mary, Ink, and The Adventures of Cliff Booth sit just behind, supported by strong source material and studio momentum, while Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5 trail further due to franchise expectations and category fit questions. This even spread stems from the early 2026 release window, where most contenders have yet to screen for voters; upcoming festival premieres, guild nominations, and critical reception will likely create clearer separation as the campaign cycle intensifies.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
The Odyssey 34%
The Black Ball 30%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth 23%
Project Hail Mary 22%
The Odyssey
34%
The Black Ball
30%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
23%
Project Hail Mary
22%
Cry to Heaven
21%
Clarissa
21%
The Whisper Man
20%
The Invite
19%
The Social Reckoning
19%
Wildwood
18%
All of a Sudden
18%
Saturn Return
18%
Ink
18%
Dune: Part Three
17%
Toy Story 5
16%
The Odyssey 34%
The Black Ball 30%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth 23%
Project Hail Mary 22%
The Odyssey
34%
The Black Ball
30%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
23%
Project Hail Mary
22%
Cry to Heaven
21%
Clarissa
21%
The Whisper Man
20%
The Invite
19%
The Social Reckoning
19%
Wildwood
18%
All of a Sudden
18%
Saturn Return
18%
Ink
18%
Dune: Part Three
17%
Toy Story 5
16%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars still months away, trader sentiment in the Best Adapted Screenplay market shows a tightly contested field where no single film has pulled decisively ahead. The Odyssey leads at 42% implied probability, followed by Saturn Return and Cry to Heaven in the low-to-mid 30s, reflecting early buzz around high-profile literary adaptations and established directors. Project Hail Mary, Ink, and The Adventures of Cliff Booth sit just behind, supported by strong source material and studio momentum, while Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5 trail further due to franchise expectations and category fit questions. This even spread stems from the early 2026 release window, where most contenders have yet to screen for voters; upcoming festival premieres, guild nominations, and critical reception will likely create clearer separation as the campaign cycle intensifies.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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