Paloma Valencia, the Democratic Centre senator and Uribe-aligned conservative candidate in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest, finished with roughly 7 percent of the vote. Traders assign near-certainty to an outcome below 10 percent because her support eroded steadily in the campaign’s final weeks. Hard-right voters shifted to outsider Abelardo de la Espriella amid his emphasis on security and anti-establishment messaging, while Valencia’s selection of a centrist running mate triggered internal party friction and alienated core supporters. Earlier polling that placed her in double digits proved unreliable once de la Espriella consolidated fragmented conservative votes. The official tally from Colombia’s electoral authority has already locked in this result, leaving only narrow procedural or recount scenarios that could alter the recorded share.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPaloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
<10% 99.0%
30-35% 1.6%
10-15% 1.3%
25-30% <1%
$14,814 Vol.
$14,814 Vol.
May 31, 2026
<10%
99%
10-15%
1%
15-20%
<1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
1%
30-35%
2%
35%+
<1%
<10% 99.0%
30-35% 1.6%
10-15% 1.3%
25-30% <1%
$14,814 Vol.
$14,814 Vol.
May 31, 2026
<10%
$7,806 Vol.
99%
10-15%
$1,598 Vol.
1%
15-20%
$733 Vol.
<1%
20-25%
$1,062 Vol.
<1%
25-30%
$2,512 Vol.
1%
30-35%
$688 Vol.
2%
35%+
$415 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia, the Democratic Centre senator and Uribe-aligned conservative candidate in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest, finished with roughly 7 percent of the vote. Traders assign near-certainty to an outcome below 10 percent because her support eroded steadily in the campaign’s final weeks. Hard-right voters shifted to outsider Abelardo de la Espriella amid his emphasis on security and anti-establishment messaging, while Valencia’s selection of a centrist running mate triggered internal party friction and alienated core supporters. Earlier polling that placed her in double digits proved unreliable once de la Espriella consolidated fragmented conservative votes. The official tally from Colombia’s electoral authority has already locked in this result, leaving only narrow procedural or recount scenarios that could alter the recorded share.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
ভলিউম
$14,814শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia, the Democratic Centre senator and Uribe-aligned conservative candidate in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest, finished with roughly 7 percent of the vote. Traders assign near-certainty to an outcome below 10 percent because her support eroded steadily in the campaign’s final weeks. Hard-right voters shifted to outsider Abelardo de la Espriella amid his emphasis on security and anti-establishment messaging, while Valencia’s selection of a centrist running mate triggered internal party friction and alienated core supporters. Earlier polling that placed her in double digits proved unreliable once de la Espriella consolidated fragmented conservative votes. The official tally from Colombia’s electoral authority has already locked in this result, leaving only narrow procedural or recount scenarios that could alter the recorded share.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
ভলিউম
$14,814শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Paloma Valencia, the Democratic Centre senator and Uribe-aligned conservative candidate in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest, finished with roughly 7 percent of the vote. Traders assign near-certainty to an outcome below 10 percent because her support eroded steadily in the campaign’s final weeks. Hard-right voters shifted to outsider Abelardo de la Espriella amid his emphasis on security and anti-establishment messaging, while Valencia’s selection of a centrist running mate triggered internal party friction and alienated core supporters. Earlier polling that placed her in double digits proved unreliable once de la Espriella consolidated fragmented conservative votes. The official tally from Colombia’s electoral authority has already locked in this result, leaving only narrow procedural or recount scenarios that could alter the recorded share.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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