The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, coupled with its May Statement on Monetary Policy projecting headline inflation peaking near 4.8 percent in the June quarter before easing, has anchored trader expectations for a pause at the June 16 meeting. Elevated March CPI readings of 4.6 percent year-over-year, driven by energy costs amid geopolitical supply disruptions, reinforced the view that additional tightening may be unnecessary if oil prices stabilize. Market-implied odds of roughly 81 percent for no change reflect this cooling trajectory, while the modest 20 percent probability of a further hike incorporates lingering upside risks to trimmed-mean inflation remaining above 3 percent through mid-2027.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNo Change 82%
Increase 21%
Decrease <1%
$25,472 Vol.
$25,472 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease
<1%
No Change
82%
Increase
21%
No Change 82%
Increase 21%
Decrease <1%
$25,472 Vol.
$25,472 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease
$7,827 Vol.
<1%
No Change
$8,800 Vol.
82%
Increase
$8,845 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, coupled with its May Statement on Monetary Policy projecting headline inflation peaking near 4.8 percent in the June quarter before easing, has anchored trader expectations for a pause at the June 16 meeting. Elevated March CPI readings of 4.6 percent year-over-year, driven by energy costs amid geopolitical supply disruptions, reinforced the view that additional tightening may be unnecessary if oil prices stabilize. Market-implied odds of roughly 81 percent for no change reflect this cooling trajectory, while the modest 20 percent probability of a further hike incorporates lingering upside risks to trimmed-mean inflation remaining above 3 percent through mid-2027.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
ভলিউম
$25,472শেষ তারিখ
Jun 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, coupled with its May Statement on Monetary Policy projecting headline inflation peaking near 4.8 percent in the June quarter before easing, has anchored trader expectations for a pause at the June 16 meeting. Elevated March CPI readings of 4.6 percent year-over-year, driven by energy costs amid geopolitical supply disruptions, reinforced the view that additional tightening may be unnecessary if oil prices stabilize. Market-implied odds of roughly 81 percent for no change reflect this cooling trajectory, while the modest 20 percent probability of a further hike incorporates lingering upside risks to trimmed-mean inflation remaining above 3 percent through mid-2027.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
ভলিউম
$25,472শেষ তারিখ
Jun 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, coupled with its May Statement on Monetary Policy projecting headline inflation peaking near 4.8 percent in the June quarter before easing, has anchored trader expectations for a pause at the June 16 meeting. Elevated March CPI readings of 4.6 percent year-over-year, driven by energy costs amid geopolitical supply disruptions, reinforced the view that additional tightening may be unnecessary if oil prices stabilize. Market-implied odds of roughly 81 percent for no change reflect this cooling trajectory, while the modest 20 percent probability of a further hike incorporates lingering upside risks to trimmed-mean inflation remaining above 3 percent through mid-2027.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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