Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jack Reed's bid for a sixth term drives the Rhode Island U.S. Senate race's lopsided trader consensus, pricing Democrats at 91.5% implied probability amid the state's deep-blue partisan lean—no Republican Senate win since 2006—and Reed's 30-year incumbency advantage since 1997. A University of New Hampshire poll from mid-April showed Reed leading presumed Republican Ray McKay 52%-34% among likely voters, reflecting weak GOP recruitment and historical underperformance in presidential and statewide races. With the candidate filing deadline June 24 and primaries September 9, odds remain firm, though a high-profile Republican entrant, Reed health event, major scandal, or national GOP wave could challenge the frontrunner's path to victory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
5%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$4,992 Vol.
92%
Republican
$2,856 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jack Reed's bid for a sixth term drives the Rhode Island U.S. Senate race's lopsided trader consensus, pricing Democrats at 91.5% implied probability amid the state's deep-blue partisan lean—no Republican Senate win since 2006—and Reed's 30-year incumbency advantage since 1997. A University of New Hampshire poll from mid-April showed Reed leading presumed Republican Ray McKay 52%-34% among likely voters, reflecting weak GOP recruitment and historical underperformance in presidential and statewide races. With the candidate filing deadline June 24 and primaries September 9, odds remain firm, though a high-profile Republican entrant, Reed health event, major scandal, or national GOP wave could challenge the frontrunner's path to victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ভলিউম
$7,848শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jack Reed's bid for a sixth term drives the Rhode Island U.S. Senate race's lopsided trader consensus, pricing Democrats at 91.5% implied probability amid the state's deep-blue partisan lean—no Republican Senate win since 2006—and Reed's 30-year incumbency advantage since 1997. A University of New Hampshire poll from mid-April showed Reed leading presumed Republican Ray McKay 52%-34% among likely voters, reflecting weak GOP recruitment and historical underperformance in presidential and statewide races. With the candidate filing deadline June 24 and primaries September 9, odds remain firm, though a high-profile Republican entrant, Reed health event, major scandal, or national GOP wave could challenge the frontrunner's path to victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$7,848শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jack Reed's bid for a sixth term drives the Rhode Island U.S. Senate race's lopsided trader consensus, pricing Democrats at 91.5% implied probability amid the state's deep-blue partisan lean—no Republican Senate win since 2006—and Reed's 30-year incumbency advantage since 1997. A University of New Hampshire poll from mid-April showed Reed leading presumed Republican Ray McKay 52%-34% among likely voters, reflecting weak GOP recruitment and historical underperformance in presidential and statewide races. With the candidate filing deadline June 24 and primaries September 9, odds remain firm, though a high-profile Republican entrant, Reed health event, major scandal, or national GOP wave could challenge the frontrunner's path to victory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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