Persistent territorial demands and stalled high-level negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine matchup sustain trader consensus around an 81% implied probability that comprehensive peace remains off the table. Recent short-term ceasefires and prisoner exchanges have produced limited momentum shifts without altering core battlefield form, where Russia maintains pressure in eastern sectors while Ukraine counters with long-range strikes. Matchup dynamics favor prolonged engagement given unresolved security guarantees and energy infrastructure vulnerabilities, mirroring back-to-back contests where rest advantages and roster depth prolong outcomes. Historical patterns of incremental truces without lasting resolution further anchor the current pricing, underscoring the competitive nature despite diplomatic overtures.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
$468,743 Vol.
$468,743 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$468,743 Vol.
$468,743 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfPersistent territorial demands and stalled high-level negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine matchup sustain trader consensus around an 81% implied probability that comprehensive peace remains off the table. Recent short-term ceasefires and prisoner exchanges have produced limited momentum shifts without altering core battlefield form, where Russia maintains pressure in eastern sectors while Ukraine counters with long-range strikes. Matchup dynamics favor prolonged engagement given unresolved security guarantees and energy infrastructure vulnerabilities, mirroring back-to-back contests where rest advantages and roster depth prolong outcomes. Historical patterns of incremental truces without lasting resolution further anchor the current pricing, underscoring the competitive nature despite diplomatic overtures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
ভলিউম
$468,743শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfPersistent territorial demands and stalled high-level negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine matchup sustain trader consensus around an 81% implied probability that comprehensive peace remains off the table. Recent short-term ceasefires and prisoner exchanges have produced limited momentum shifts without altering core battlefield form, where Russia maintains pressure in eastern sectors while Ukraine counters with long-range strikes. Matchup dynamics favor prolonged engagement given unresolved security guarantees and energy infrastructure vulnerabilities, mirroring back-to-back contests where rest advantages and roster depth prolong outcomes. Historical patterns of incremental truces without lasting resolution further anchor the current pricing, underscoring the competitive nature despite diplomatic overtures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
ভলিউম
$468,743শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent territorial demands and stalled high-level negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine matchup sustain trader consensus around an 81% implied probability that comprehensive peace remains off the table. Recent short-term ceasefires and prisoner exchanges have produced limited momentum shifts without altering core battlefield form, where Russia maintains pressure in eastern sectors while Ukraine counters with long-range strikes. Matchup dynamics favor prolonged engagement given unresolved security guarantees and energy infrastructure vulnerabilities, mirroring back-to-back contests where rest advantages and roster depth prolong outcomes. Historical patterns of incremental truces without lasting resolution further anchor the current pricing, underscoring the competitive nature despite diplomatic overtures.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা