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icon for Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

icon for Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

$46,435 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$46,435 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30, 2026

$20,089 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Sam Altman's legal exposure centers on civil litigation rather than criminal proceedings.** His sister's amended civil suit alleging historical sexual abuse remains ongoing in Missouri federal court after partial dismissal on statute-of-limitations grounds, with Altman denying claims and countersuing for defamation. A separate June 2026 Florida civil action targets OpenAI and Altman personally over ChatGPT's alleged risks to minors. No criminal charges or indictments have been filed. Traders assess negligible near-term jail risk given the civil nature of cases, OpenAI's continued product momentum, and Altman's active policy engagement. Key watchpoints include any criminal referrals from state probes or shifts in the sister's case trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
āĻ­āϞāĻŋāωāĻŽ
$46,435
āĻļ⧇āώ āϤāĻžāϰāĻŋāĻ–
Dec 31, 2025
āĻŽāĻžāĻ°ā§āϕ⧇āϟ āĻ“āĻĒ⧇āύ āĻšāϝāĻŧ⧇āϛ⧇
Nov 6, 2025, 7:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Sam Altman's legal exposure centers on civil litigation rather than criminal proceedings.** His sister's amended civil suit alleging historical sexual abuse remains ongoing in Missouri federal court after partial dismissal on statute-of-limitations grounds, with Altman denying claims and countersuing for defamation. A separate June 2026 Florida civil action targets OpenAI and Altman personally over ChatGPT's alleged risks to minors. No criminal charges or indictments have been filed. Traders assess negligible near-term jail risk given the civil nature of cases, OpenAI's continued product momentum, and Altman's active policy engagement. Key watchpoints include any criminal referrals from state probes or shifts in the sister's case trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
āĻ­āϞāĻŋāωāĻŽ
$46,435
āĻļ⧇āώ āϤāĻžāϰāĻŋāĻ–
Dec 31, 2025
āĻŽāĻžāĻ°ā§āϕ⧇āϟ āĻ“āĻĒ⧇āύ āĻšāϝāĻŧ⧇āϛ⧇
Nov 6, 2025, 7:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

āĻŦāĻžāĻšā§āϝāĻŋāĻ• āϞāĻŋāĻ‚āĻ• āĻĨ⧇āϕ⧇ āϏāĻžāĻŦāϧāĻžāύāĨ¤

āϏāϚāϰāĻžāϚāϰ āϜāĻŋāĻœā§āĻžāĻžāϏāĻž

"Sam Altman in jail by...?" āĻšāϞ⧋ Polymarket-āĻ 2 āϏāĻŽā§āĻ­āĻžāĻŦā§āϝ āĻĢāϞāĻžāĻĢāϞāϏāĻš āĻāĻ•āϟāĻŋ āĻĒā§āϰ⧇āĻĄāĻŋāĻ•āĻļāύ āĻŽāĻžāĻ°ā§āϕ⧇āϟ āϝ⧇āĻ–āĻžāύ⧇ āĻŸā§āϰ⧇āĻĄāĻžāϰāϰāĻž āϕ⧀ āϘāϟāĻŦ⧇ āĻŦāϞ⧇ āĻŦāĻŋāĻļā§āĻŦāĻžāϏ āĻ•āϰ⧇ āϤāĻžāϰ āĻ­āĻŋāĻ¤ā§āϤāĻŋāϤ⧇ āĻļ⧇āϝāĻŧāĻžāϰ āϕ⧇āύāĻžāĻŦ⧇āϚāĻž āĻ•āϰ⧇āĨ¤ āĻŦāĻ°ā§āϤāĻŽāĻžāύ āĻļā§€āĻ°ā§āώ āĻĢāϞāĻžāĻĢāϞ " June 30, 2026" 0%-āĻ, āϤāĻžāϰāĻĒāϰ "December 31, 2025" 0%-āĻāĨ¤ āĻĻāĻžāĻŽ āϰāĻŋāϝāĻŧ⧇āϞ-āϟāĻžāχāĻŽ āĻ•ā§āϰāĻžāωāĻĄ-āϏ⧋āĻ°ā§āϏāĻĄ āϏāĻŽā§āĻ­āĻžāĻŦāύāĻž āĻĒā§āϰāϤāĻŋāĻĢāϞāĻŋāϤ āĻ•āϰ⧇āĨ¤ āĻŽāĻžāĻ°ā§āϕ⧇āϟ āϰ⧇āĻœā§‹āϞāĻŋāωāĻļāύ⧇ āϏāĻ āĻŋāĻ• āĻĢāϞāĻžāĻĢāϞ⧇āϰ āĻļ⧇āϝāĻŧāĻžāϰ āĻĒā§āϰāϤāĻŋāϟāĻŋ $1-āĻ āϰāĻŋāĻĄāĻŋāĻŽāϝ⧋āĻ—ā§āϝāĨ¤

āφāϜ āĻĒāĻ°ā§āϝāĻ¨ā§āϤ, "Sam Altman in jail by...?" āĻŽā§‹āϟ $46.4K āĻŸā§āϰ⧇āĻĄāĻŋāĻ‚ āĻ­āϞāĻŋāωāĻŽ āϤ⧈āϰāĻŋ āĻ•āϰ⧇āϛ⧇ āĻŽāĻžāĻ°ā§āϕ⧇āϟ Nov 6, 2025-āĻ āϞāĻžā§āϚ āĻšāĻ“āϝāĻŧāĻžāϰ āĻĒāϰ āĻĨ⧇āϕ⧇āĨ¤ āĻāχ āĻ¸ā§āϤāϰ⧇āϰ āĻŸā§āϰ⧇āĻĄāĻŋāĻ‚ āĻ…ā§āϝāĻžāĻ•ā§āϟāĻŋāĻ­āĻŋāϟāĻŋ Polymarket āĻ•āĻŽāĻŋāωāύāĻŋāϟāĻŋāϰ āĻļāĻ•ā§āϤāĻŋāĻļāĻžāϞ⧀ āĻāύāϗ⧇āϜāĻŽā§‡āĻ¨ā§āϟ āĻĒā§āϰāϤāĻŋāĻĢāϞāĻŋāϤ āĻ•āϰ⧇ āĻāĻŦāĻ‚ āύāĻŋāĻļā§āϚāĻŋāϤ āĻ•āϰāϤ⧇ āϏāĻžāĻšāĻžāĻ¯ā§āϝ āĻ•āϰ⧇ āϝ⧇ āĻŦāĻ°ā§āϤāĻŽāĻžāύ āĻ…āĻĄāϏ āĻŽāĻžāĻ°ā§āϕ⧇āϟ āĻ…āĻ‚āĻļāĻ—ā§āϰāĻšāĻŖāĻ•āĻžāϰ⧀āĻĻ⧇āϰ āĻāĻ•āϟāĻŋ āĻ—āĻ­ā§€āϰ āĻĒ⧁āϞ āĻĻā§āĻŦāĻžāϰāĻž āĻ…āĻŦāĻšāĻŋāϤāĨ¤ āφāĻĒāύāĻŋ āĻāχ āĻĒ⧇āĻœā§‡ āϏāϰāĻžāϏāϰāĻŋ āϞāĻžāχāĻ­ āĻŽā§‚āĻ˛ā§āϝ āĻŽā§āĻ­āĻŽā§‡āĻ¨ā§āϟ āĻŸā§āĻ°ā§āϝāĻžāĻ• āĻ•āϰāϤ⧇ āĻ“ āϝ⧇āϕ⧋āύ⧋ āĻĢāϞāĻžāĻĢāϞ⧇ āĻŸā§āϰ⧇āĻĄ āĻ•āϰāϤ⧇ āĻĒāĻžāϰ⧇āύāĨ¤

"Sam Altman in jail by...?"-āĻ āĻŸā§āϰ⧇āĻĄ āĻ•āϰāϤ⧇, āĻāχ āĻĒ⧇āĻœā§‡ āϤāĻžāϞāĻŋāĻ•āĻžāϭ⧁āĻ•ā§āϤ 2 āωāĻĒāϞāĻŦā§āϧ āĻĢāϞāĻžāĻĢāϞ āĻŦā§āϰāĻžāωāϜ āĻ•āϰ⧁āύāĨ¤ āĻĒā§āϰāϤāĻŋāϟāĻŋ āĻĢāϞāĻžāĻĢāϞ āĻŽāĻžāĻ°ā§āϕ⧇āĻŸā§‡āϰ āχāĻŽā§āĻĒā§āϞāĻžāϝāĻŧ⧇āĻĄ āĻĒā§āϰāĻŦāĻžāĻŦāĻŋāϞāĻŋāϟāĻŋ āĻĒā§āϰāϤāĻŋāύāĻŋāϧāĻŋāĻ¤ā§āĻŦ āĻ•āϰ⧇ āĻāĻ•āϟāĻŋ āĻŦāĻ°ā§āϤāĻŽāĻžāύ āĻĻāĻžāĻŽ āĻĻ⧇āĻ–āĻžāϝāĻŧāĨ¤ āĻĒāϜāĻŋāĻļāύ āύāĻŋāϤ⧇, āφāĻĒāύāĻŋ āϝ⧇ āĻĢāϞāĻžāĻĢāϞāϕ⧇ āϏāĻŦāĻšā§‡āϝāĻŧ⧇ āϏāĻŽā§āĻ­āĻžāĻŦāύāĻžāĻŽāϝāĻŧ āĻŽāύ⧇ āĻ•āϰ⧇āύ āϏ⧇āϟāĻŋ āύāĻŋāĻ°ā§āĻŦāĻžāϚāύ āĻ•āϰ⧁āύ, āĻāϰ āĻĒāĻ•ā§āώ⧇ "Yes" āĻŦāĻž āĻŦāĻŋāĻĒāĻ•ā§āώ⧇ "No" āĻŦ⧇āϛ⧇ āύāĻŋāύ, āφāĻĒāύāĻžāϰ āĻĒāϰāĻŋāĻŽāĻžāĻŖ āϞāĻŋāϖ⧁āύ āĻāĻŦāĻ‚ "Trade" āĻ•ā§āϞāĻŋāĻ• āĻ•āϰ⧁āύāĨ¤ āĻŽāĻžāĻ°ā§āϕ⧇āϟ āϰ⧇āϜāϞāĻ­ āĻšāϞ⧇ āφāĻĒāύāĻžāϰ āύāĻŋāĻ°ā§āĻŦāĻžāϚāĻŋāϤ āĻĢāϞāĻžāĻĢāϞ āϏāĻ āĻŋāĻ• āĻšāϞ⧇, āφāĻĒāύāĻžāϰ "Yes" āĻļ⧇āϝāĻŧāĻžāϰ āĻĒā§āϰāϤāĻŋāϟāĻŋ $1 āĻĻ⧇āϝāĻŧāĨ¤ āϭ⧁āϞ āĻšāϞ⧇, $0 āĻĻ⧇āϝāĻŧāĨ¤

āĻāϟāĻŋ āĻāĻ•āϟāĻŋ āĻ“āϝāĻŧāĻžāχāĻĄ-āĻ“āĻĒ⧇āύ āĻŽāĻžāĻ°ā§āϕ⧇āϟāĨ¤ "Sam Altman in jail by...?"-āĻāϰ āĻŦāĻ°ā§āϤāĻŽāĻžāύ āϞāĻŋāĻĄāĻžāϰ " June 30, 2026" āĻŽāĻžāĻ¤ā§āϰ 0%-āĻ, "December 31, 2025" āĻ•āĻžāĻ›āĻžāĻ•āĻžāĻ›āĻŋ 0%-āĻāĨ¤ āϕ⧋āύ⧋ āĻĢāϞāĻžāĻĢāϞ āĻļāĻ•ā§āϤāĻŋāĻļāĻžāϞ⧀ āϏāĻ‚āĻ–ā§āϝāĻžāĻ—āϰāĻŋāĻˇā§āĻ āϤāĻž āĻĒāĻžāĻšā§āϛ⧇ āύāĻž āĻŦāϞ⧇, āĻŸā§āϰ⧇āĻĄāĻžāϰāϰāĻž āĻāϟāĻŋāϕ⧇ āĻ…āĻ¤ā§āϝāĻ¨ā§āϤ āĻ…āύāĻŋāĻļā§āϚāĻŋāϤ āĻĻ⧇āϖ⧇, āϝāĻž āĻ…āύāĻ¨ā§āϝ āĻŸā§āϰ⧇āĻĄāĻŋāĻ‚ āϏ⧁āϝ⧋āĻ— āωāĻĒāĻ¸ā§āĻĨāĻžāĻĒāύ āĻ•āϰāϤ⧇ āĻĒāĻžāϰ⧇āĨ¤

"Sam Altman in jail by...?"-āĻāϰ āϰ⧇āĻœā§‹āϞāĻŋāωāĻļāύ āύāĻŋāϝāĻŧāĻŽ āϏāĻ āĻŋāĻ•āĻ­āĻžāĻŦ⧇ āϏāĻ‚āĻœā§āĻžāĻžāϝāĻŧāĻŋāϤ āĻ•āϰ⧇ āĻĒā§āϰāϤāĻŋāϟāĻŋ āĻĢāϞāĻžāĻĢāϞāϕ⧇ āĻŦāĻŋāϜāϝāĻŧā§€ āĻ˜ā§‹āώāĻŖāĻž āĻ•āϰāϤ⧇ āϕ⧀ āϘāϟāϤ⧇ āĻšāĻŦ⧇ — āĻĢāϞāĻžāĻĢāϞ āύāĻŋāĻ°ā§āϧāĻžāϰāϪ⧇ āĻŦā§āϝāĻŦāĻšā§ƒāϤ āĻ…āĻĢāĻŋāϏāĻŋāϝāĻŧāĻžāϞ āĻĄā§‡āϟāĻž āϏ⧋āĻ°ā§āϏ āϏāĻšāĨ¤ āφāĻĒāύāĻŋ āĻāχ āĻĒ⧇āĻœā§‡āϰ āĻŽāĻ¨ā§āϤāĻŦā§āϝ⧇āϰ āωāĻĒāϰ⧇ "Rules" āϏ⧇āĻ•āĻļāύ⧇ āϏāĻŽā§āĻĒā§‚āĻ°ā§āĻŖ āϰ⧇āĻœā§‹āϞāĻŋāωāĻļāύ āĻŽāĻžāύāĻĻāĻŖā§āĻĄ āϰāĻŋāĻ­āĻŋāω āĻ•āϰāϤ⧇ āĻĒāĻžāϰ⧇āύāĨ¤