**No U.S. Supreme Court vacancy is expected in 2026 at 77.5% trader-implied probability.** The nine sitting justices have made no retirement announcements, and the two oldest members—Clarence Thomas (age 78) and Samuel Alito (age 76)—have both signaled they intend to remain on the bench. Alito recently stated he is “here for another term,” while reporting indicates Thomas plans to serve through the year. With four months remaining and no reported health issues, legislative changes, or other developments altering the situation, traders view an unplanned vacancy as unlikely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড20% সম্ভাবনা
$19,031 Vol.
$19,031 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
20% সম্ভাবনা
$19,031 Vol.
$19,031 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **No U.S. Supreme Court vacancy is expected in 2026 at 77.5% trader-implied probability.** The nine sitting justices have made no retirement announcements, and the two oldest members—Clarence Thomas (age 78) and Samuel Alito (age 76)—have both signaled they intend to remain on the bench. Alito recently stated he is “here for another term,” while reporting indicates Thomas plans to serve through the year. With four months remaining and no reported health issues, legislative changes, or other developments altering the situation, traders view an unplanned vacancy as unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$19,031শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **No U.S. Supreme Court vacancy is expected in 2026 at 77.5% trader-implied probability.** The nine sitting justices have made no retirement announcements, and the two oldest members—Clarence Thomas (age 78) and Samuel Alito (age 76)—have both signaled they intend to remain on the bench. Alito recently stated he is “here for another term,” while reporting indicates Thomas plans to serve through the year. With four months remaining and no reported health issues, legislative changes, or other developments altering the situation, traders view an unplanned vacancy as unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$19,031শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No U.S. Supreme Court vacancy is expected in 2026 at 77.5% trader-implied probability.** The nine sitting justices have made no retirement announcements, and the two oldest members—Clarence Thomas (age 78) and Samuel Alito (age 76)—have both signaled they intend to remain on the bench. Alito recently stated he is “here for another term,” while reporting indicates Thomas plans to serve through the year. With four months remaining and no reported health issues, legislative changes, or other developments altering the situation, traders view an unplanned vacancy as unlikely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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