SpaceX Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports and propellant transfer hardware designed for low-Earth orbit rendezvous, a prerequisite for the first ship-to-ship docking and refueling demonstration. Flight 13 in July 2026 validated key V3 capabilities including engine relight and intact heat shield performance, yet traders price the 2026 resolution at just 6-13% because the targeted Q3-Q4 propellant transfer test still requires sequential launches, full orbital-duration clearances, and resolution of the ongoing FAA mishap review. Flight 14, scheduled for an orbital insertion attempt around September 22 with Starlink V3 satellite deployment, represents the immediate next step toward extended-duration missions, while competitive pressure from NASA Artemis refueling needs and SpaceX’s iterative cadence support the roughly even odds for a 2027 milestone.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$70,613 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
3%
December 31, 2027
53%
$70,613 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$46,244 Vol.
3%
December 31, 2027
$24,369 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports and propellant transfer hardware designed for low-Earth orbit rendezvous, a prerequisite for the first ship-to-ship docking and refueling demonstration. Flight 13 in July 2026 validated key V3 capabilities including engine relight and intact heat shield performance, yet traders price the 2026 resolution at just 6-13% because the targeted Q3-Q4 propellant transfer test still requires sequential launches, full orbital-duration clearances, and resolution of the ongoing FAA mishap review. Flight 14, scheduled for an orbital insertion attempt around September 22 with Starlink V3 satellite deployment, represents the immediate next step toward extended-duration missions, while competitive pressure from NASA Artemis refueling needs and SpaceX’s iterative cadence support the roughly even odds for a 2027 milestone.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$70,613শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2028মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports and propellant transfer hardware designed for low-Earth orbit rendezvous, a prerequisite for the first ship-to-ship docking and refueling demonstration. Flight 13 in July 2026 validated key V3 capabilities including engine relight and intact heat shield performance, yet traders price the 2026 resolution at just 6-13% because the targeted Q3-Q4 propellant transfer test still requires sequential launches, full orbital-duration clearances, and resolution of the ongoing FAA mishap review. Flight 14, scheduled for an orbital insertion attempt around September 22 with Starlink V3 satellite deployment, represents the immediate next step toward extended-duration missions, while competitive pressure from NASA Artemis refueling needs and SpaceX’s iterative cadence support the roughly even odds for a 2027 milestone.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$70,613শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2028মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...SpaceX Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports and propellant transfer hardware designed for low-Earth orbit rendezvous, a prerequisite for the first ship-to-ship docking and refueling demonstration. Flight 13 in July 2026 validated key V3 capabilities including engine relight and intact heat shield performance, yet traders price the 2026 resolution at just 6-13% because the targeted Q3-Q4 propellant transfer test still requires sequential launches, full orbital-duration clearances, and resolution of the ongoing FAA mishap review. Flight 14, scheduled for an orbital insertion attempt around September 22 with Starlink V3 satellite deployment, represents the immediate next step toward extended-duration missions, while competitive pressure from NASA Artemis refueling needs and SpaceX’s iterative cadence support the roughly even odds for a 2027 milestone.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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