**US military contingency planning for potential action against Cuba has intensified amid an escalating US pressure campaign.** In late September 2026, reports detailed US Army Reserve assessments of support units—including military police, medical, engineering, and logistics formations—for possible deployment under US Southern Command within 90-120 days. These steps build on earlier 2026 reconnaissance operations and reviewed options such as large-scale air assaults. President Trump has publicly downplayed the need for force, stating that Cuba is failing and that a deal remains likely while the administration tightens sanctions, fuel restrictions, and travel rules. Cuba has maintained limited communication channels without formal negotiations and has increased its defensive preparations. No deployment orders have been issued, and trader assessments of near-term military action reflect ongoing economic and diplomatic measures alongside contingency work.