The tight clustering of implied probabilities around MIBR, Leviatán, KRÜ Esports, and G2 Esports stems from evenly matched group-stage results that funneled all eight teams into a high-stakes playoff bracket with clear seeding advantages. MIBR earned the top seed in Group Alpha after prevailing in head-to-head tiebreakers, while KRÜ Esports mirrored that dominance in Group Omega, yet both sides face immediate upper-bracket tests that could shift momentum quickly. Leviatán’s early series wins and consistent map control keep it within striking distance, and G2’s experienced roster continues to deliver in pressure situations. With home/away splits minimal and roster health stable across contenders, the current market pricing captures a race where any single playoff upset or strong lower-bracket run can reorder the leaderboard before the final.