**Nicolás Maduro’s commanding position in the market reflects trader expectations of regime continuity despite his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and ongoing U.S. detention on narco-terrorism charges.** Delcy Rodríguez assumed the acting presidency with institutional backing from the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, the military, and the PSUV, while receiving pragmatic U.S. engagement focused on oil, sanctions relief, and stabilization. Recent developments—including June 2026 earthquakes that worsened the humanitarian situation and August bipartisan U.S. Senate calls for elections—have reinforced the acting government’s short-term hold without triggering an immediate transition. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain in exile with limited domestic leverage, and constitutional mechanisms have allowed Rodríguez to extend interim authority potentially through 2031 absent new polls. Traders appear to price high probability of Chavista institutional persistence or delayed electoral change by year-end 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডভেনেজুয়েলার নেতা 2026 সালের শেষের দিকে?
নিকোলাস মাদুরো 82.1%
ডেলসি রদ্রিগেজ 10%
মারিয়া করিনা মাচাদো 2.6%
কোনো রাষ্ট্রপ্রধান নেই <1%
$95,544,429 Vol.
$95,544,429 Vol.
নিকোলাস মাদুরো
82%
ডেলসি রদ্রিগেজ
10%
মারিয়া করিনা মাচাদো
3%
কোনো রাষ্ট্রপ্রধান নেই
1%
এডমুন্ডো গনজালেস
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
হোর্হে রদ্রিগেজ
<1%
ভ্লাদিমির পাদ্রিনো লোপেজ
<1%
দিনোরা ফিগুয়েরা
<1%
ইভান পেটাস
<1%
ডোনাল্ড ট্রাম্প
<1%
মার্কো রুবিও
<1%
পিট হেগসেত
<1%
ফ্র্যাঙ্ক ডোনোভান
<1%
ড্যান কেইন
<1%
রিচার্ড গ্রেনেল
<1%
নিকোলাস মাদুরো 82.1%
ডেলসি রদ্রিগেজ 10%
মারিয়া করিনা মাচাদো 2.6%
কোনো রাষ্ট্রপ্রধান নেই <1%
$95,544,429 Vol.
$95,544,429 Vol.
নিকোলাস মাদুরো
82%
ডেলসি রদ্রিগেজ
10%
মারিয়া করিনা মাচাদো
3%
কোনো রাষ্ট্রপ্রধান নেই
1%
এডমুন্ডো গনজালেস
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
হোর্হে রদ্রিগেজ
<1%
ভ্লাদিমির পাদ্রিনো লোপেজ
<1%
দিনোরা ফিগুয়েরা
<1%
ইভান পেটাস
<1%
ডোনাল্ড ট্রাম্প
<1%
মার্কো রুবিও
<1%
পিট হেগসেত
<1%
ফ্র্যাঙ্ক ডোনোভান
<1%
ড্যান কেইন
<1%
রিচার্ড গ্রেনেল
<1%
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Nicolás Maduro’s commanding position in the market reflects trader expectations of regime continuity despite his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and ongoing U.S. detention on narco-terrorism charges.** Delcy Rodríguez assumed the acting presidency with institutional backing from the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, the military, and the PSUV, while receiving pragmatic U.S. engagement focused on oil, sanctions relief, and stabilization. Recent developments—including June 2026 earthquakes that worsened the humanitarian situation and August bipartisan U.S. Senate calls for elections—have reinforced the acting government’s short-term hold without triggering an immediate transition. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain in exile with limited domestic leverage, and constitutional mechanisms have allowed Rodríguez to extend interim authority potentially through 2031 absent new polls. Traders appear to price high probability of Chavista institutional persistence or delayed electoral change by year-end 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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