Trader consensus favors Nicolás Maduro at 63.4% to lead Venezuela by end-2026, despite his January US capture and ongoing detention on drug charges, signaling skepticism about the interim government's longevity amid internal purges and external pressures. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez, at 23.5%, has consolidated power by replacing Maduro allies like Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and rejecting President Trump's recent suggestion of Venezuela as the 51st US state during her May 11 ICJ appearance on the Essequibo dispute. Opposition leader María Corina Machado trails at 7.5%, reflecting her cautious transition stance and delayed return plans amid White House frustrations, with no snap elections scheduled. US-Venezuela normalization in April underscores uncertain diplomatic dynamics shaping probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডভেনেজুয়েলার নেতা 2026 সালের শেষের দিকে?
ভেনেজুয়েলার নেতা 2026 সালের শেষের দিকে?
নিকোলাস মাদুরো 63.5%
ডেলসি রদ্রিগেজ 24%
মারিয়া করিনা মাচাদো 8%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón 1.0%
$87,794,542 Vol.
$87,794,542 Vol.
নিকোলাস মাদুরো
63%
ডেলসি রদ্রিগেজ
24%
মারিয়া করিনা মাচাদো
8%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
হোর্হে রদ্রিগেজ
1%
কোনো রাষ্ট্রপ্রধান নেই
1%
এডমুন্ডো গনজালেস
1%
ডোনাল্ড ট্রাম্প
<1%
ইভান পেটাস
<1%
মার্কো রুবিও
<1%
দিনোরা ফিগুয়েরা
<1%
ভ্লাদিমির পাদ্রিনো লোপেজ
<1%
ড্যান কেইন
<1%
পিট হেগসেত
<1%
ফ্র্যাঙ্ক ডোনোভান
<1%
রিচার্ড গ্রেনেল
<1%
নিকোলাস মাদুরো 63.5%
ডেলসি রদ্রিগেজ 24%
মারিয়া করিনা মাচাদো 8%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón 1.0%
$87,794,542 Vol.
$87,794,542 Vol.
নিকোলাস মাদুরো
63%
ডেলসি রদ্রিগেজ
24%
মারিয়া করিনা মাচাদো
8%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
হোর্হে রদ্রিগেজ
1%
কোনো রাষ্ট্রপ্রধান নেই
1%
এডমুন্ডো গনজালেস
1%
ডোনাল্ড ট্রাম্প
<1%
ইভান পেটাস
<1%
মার্কো রুবিও
<1%
দিনোরা ফিগুয়েরা
<1%
ভ্লাদিমির পাদ্রিনো লোপেজ
<1%
ড্যান কেইন
<1%
পিট হেগসেত
<1%
ফ্র্যাঙ্ক ডোনোভান
<1%
রিচার্ড গ্রেনেল
<1%
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Nicolás Maduro at 63.4% to lead Venezuela by end-2026, despite his January US capture and ongoing detention on drug charges, signaling skepticism about the interim government's longevity amid internal purges and external pressures. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez, at 23.5%, has consolidated power by replacing Maduro allies like Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and rejecting President Trump's recent suggestion of Venezuela as the 51st US state during her May 11 ICJ appearance on the Essequibo dispute. Opposition leader María Corina Machado trails at 7.5%, reflecting her cautious transition stance and delayed return plans amid White House frustrations, with no snap elections scheduled. US-Venezuela normalization in April underscores uncertain diplomatic dynamics shaping probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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