No hurricanes have formed in the below-normal 2026 Atlantic season, where only Tropical Storms Arthur and Bertha have occurred so far, leaving Cristobal as the next name in sequence. The even ~50% market-implied odds across Cristobal through Wilfred (with earlier names like Dolly and Hanna slightly lower) reflect uncertainty over when subsequent systems will develop and reach the 74 mph sustained wind threshold for hurricane status on the Saffir-Simpson scale. NOAA and CSU forecasts cite moderate El Niño conditions and other factors suppressing overall activity, which could delay intensification or shift formation later in the list. NHC model consensus updates and the next tropical weather outlook will be key near-term drivers for trader positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Fay 45%
Wilfred 44%
Rene 44%
Josephine 43%
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 1, 2026
Cristobal
42%
Dolly
42%
Edouard
43%
Fay
45%
Gonzalo
43%
Hanna
40%
Isaias
41%
Josephine
43%
Kyle
42%
Leah
43%
Marco
41%
Nana
42%
Omar
42%
Paulette
41%
Rene
44%
Sally
42%
Teddy
40%
Vicky
42%
Wilfred
44%
Other
40%
Fay 45%
Wilfred 44%
Rene 44%
Josephine 43%
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 1, 2026
Cristobal
$26 Vol.
42%
Dolly
$26 Vol.
42%
Edouard
$26 Vol.
43%
Fay
$26 Vol.
45%
Gonzalo
$26 Vol.
43%
Hanna
$26 Vol.
40%
Isaias
$25 Vol.
41%
Josephine
$25 Vol.
43%
Kyle
$25 Vol.
42%
Leah
$25 Vol.
43%
Marco
$25 Vol.
41%
Nana
$25 Vol.
42%
Omar
$24 Vol.
42%
Paulette
$24 Vol.
41%
Rene
$24 Vol.
44%
Sally
$24 Vol.
42%
Teddy
$24 Vol.
40%
Vicky
$25 Vol.
42%
Wilfred
$23 Vol.
44%
Other
$23 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. No hurricanes have formed in the below-normal 2026 Atlantic season, where only Tropical Storms Arthur and Bertha have occurred so far, leaving Cristobal as the next name in sequence. The even ~50% market-implied odds across Cristobal through Wilfred (with earlier names like Dolly and Hanna slightly lower) reflect uncertainty over when subsequent systems will develop and reach the 74 mph sustained wind threshold for hurricane status on the Saffir-Simpson scale. NOAA and CSU forecasts cite moderate El Niño conditions and other factors suppressing overall activity, which could delay intensification or shift formation later in the list. NHC model consensus updates and the next tropical weather outlook will be key near-term drivers for trader positioning.
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 24, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
ভলিউম
$497শেষ তারিখ
Dec 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 24, 2026, 12:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. No hurricanes have formed in the below-normal 2026 Atlantic season, where only Tropical Storms Arthur and Bertha have occurred so far, leaving Cristobal as the next name in sequence. The even ~50% market-implied odds across Cristobal through Wilfred (with earlier names like Dolly and Hanna slightly lower) reflect uncertainty over when subsequent systems will develop and reach the 74 mph sustained wind threshold for hurricane status on the Saffir-Simpson scale. NOAA and CSU forecasts cite moderate El Niño conditions and other factors suppressing overall activity, which could delay intensification or shift formation later in the list. NHC model consensus updates and the next tropical weather outlook will be key near-term drivers for trader positioning.
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
ভলিউম
$497শেষ তারিখ
Dec 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 24, 2026, 12:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...No hurricanes have formed in the below-normal 2026 Atlantic season, where only Tropical Storms Arthur and Bertha have occurred so far, leaving Cristobal as the next name in sequence. The even ~50% market-implied odds across Cristobal through Wilfred (with earlier names like Dolly and Hanna slightly lower) reflect uncertainty over when subsequent systems will develop and reach the 74 mph sustained wind threshold for hurricane status on the Saffir-Simpson scale. NOAA and CSU forecasts cite moderate El Niño conditions and other factors suppressing overall activity, which could delay intensification or shift formation later in the list. NHC model consensus updates and the next tropical weather outlook will be key near-term drivers for trader positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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