Recent softening in DC Metro home values, driven by elevated mortgage rates near 6% and rising inventory from federal workforce adjustments, underpins trader positioning in the $512K–$524K range for the September 30 Zillow Home Value Index reading. Increased active listings and slower sales velocity have tempered appreciation, with year-over-year declines evident in recent Redfin and Zillow data for the broader metro. The closely contested 40% and 34% implied probabilities on the two leading buckets reflect uncertainty over near-term stabilization versus further modest pressure from affordability constraints and seasonal patterns. Key catalysts include August–September economic releases on inflation, employment, and any Fed communications that could influence rate expectations, alongside local supply trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
$512K - $518K 41.0%
$518K - $524K 34.2%
$524K - $530K 16.2%
<$512K 12.6%
$33,640 Vol.
$33,640 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$512K
10%
$512K - $518K
41%
$518K - $524K
34%
$524K - $530K
16%
$530K - $536K
4%
$536K - $542K
4%
$542K+
5%
$512K - $518K 41.0%
$518K - $524K 34.2%
$524K - $530K 16.2%
<$512K 12.6%
$33,640 Vol.
$33,640 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$512K
$877 Vol.
10%
$512K - $518K
$2,910 Vol.
41%
$518K - $524K
$9,429 Vol.
34%
$524K - $530K
$4,388 Vol.
16%
$530K - $536K
$4,122 Vol.
4%
$536K - $542K
$7,787 Vol.
4%
$542K+
$4,128 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent softening in DC Metro home values, driven by elevated mortgage rates near 6% and rising inventory from federal workforce adjustments, underpins trader positioning in the $512K–$524K range for the September 30 Zillow Home Value Index reading. Increased active listings and slower sales velocity have tempered appreciation, with year-over-year declines evident in recent Redfin and Zillow data for the broader metro. The closely contested 40% and 34% implied probabilities on the two leading buckets reflect uncertainty over near-term stabilization versus further modest pressure from affordability constraints and seasonal patterns. Key catalysts include August–September economic releases on inflation, employment, and any Fed communications that could influence rate expectations, alongside local supply trends.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
ভলিউম
$33,640শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent softening in DC Metro home values, driven by elevated mortgage rates near 6% and rising inventory from federal workforce adjustments, underpins trader positioning in the $512K–$524K range for the September 30 Zillow Home Value Index reading. Increased active listings and slower sales velocity have tempered appreciation, with year-over-year declines evident in recent Redfin and Zillow data for the broader metro. The closely contested 40% and 34% implied probabilities on the two leading buckets reflect uncertainty over near-term stabilization versus further modest pressure from affordability constraints and seasonal patterns. Key catalysts include August–September economic releases on inflation, employment, and any Fed communications that could influence rate expectations, alongside local supply trends.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
ভলিউম
$33,640শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent softening in DC Metro home values, driven by elevated mortgage rates near 6% and rising inventory from federal workforce adjustments, underpins trader positioning in the $512K–$524K range for the September 30 Zillow Home Value Index reading. Increased active listings and slower sales velocity have tempered appreciation, with year-over-year declines evident in recent Redfin and Zillow data for the broader metro. The closely contested 40% and 34% implied probabilities on the two leading buckets reflect uncertainty over near-term stabilization versus further modest pressure from affordability constraints and seasonal patterns. Key catalysts include August–September economic releases on inflation, employment, and any Fed communications that could influence rate expectations, alongside local supply trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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