Trader sentiment assigns the highest implied probability to 2026 finishing as the second-warmest year on record, driven by January–March global temperatures ranking fourth highest in NOAA analyses alongside model projections centering near 1.47 °C above the pre-industrial baseline. Ongoing anthropogenic warming and the anticipated transition to El Niño conditions later in 2026 provide a modest upward boost to remaining months, yet most ensemble forecasts keep the annual anomaly below 2024’s peak. This leaves a narrower path to first place and sharply lower odds for third or lower rankings, consistent with the near-certainty of a top-five finish.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড2026 রেকর্ডের উষ্ণতম বছরগুলির মধ্যে কোথায় স্থান পাবে?
2026 রেকর্ডের উষ্ণতম বছরগুলির মধ্যে কোথায় স্থান পাবে?
২ 57%
১ 35%
৪ 2.8%
৬ বা কম 2.3%
$2,820,243 Vol.
$2,820,243 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
১
35%
২
57%
৩
2%
৪
3%
৫
1%
৬ বা কম
2%
২ 57%
১ 35%
৪ 2.8%
৬ বা কম 2.3%
$2,820,243 Vol.
$2,820,243 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
১
$453,726 Vol.
35%
২
$325,824 Vol.
57%
৩
$428,143 Vol.
2%
৪
$416,574 Vol.
3%
৫
$731,047 Vol.
1%
৬ বা কম
$464,929 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment assigns the highest implied probability to 2026 finishing as the second-warmest year on record, driven by January–March global temperatures ranking fourth highest in NOAA analyses alongside model projections centering near 1.47 °C above the pre-industrial baseline. Ongoing anthropogenic warming and the anticipated transition to El Niño conditions later in 2026 provide a modest upward boost to remaining months, yet most ensemble forecasts keep the annual anomaly below 2024’s peak. This leaves a narrower path to first place and sharply lower odds for third or lower rankings, consistent with the near-certainty of a top-five finish.
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,820,243শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment assigns the highest implied probability to 2026 finishing as the second-warmest year on record, driven by January–March global temperatures ranking fourth highest in NOAA analyses alongside model projections centering near 1.47 °C above the pre-industrial baseline. Ongoing anthropogenic warming and the anticipated transition to El Niño conditions later in 2026 provide a modest upward boost to remaining months, yet most ensemble forecasts keep the annual anomaly below 2024’s peak. This leaves a narrower path to first place and sharply lower odds for third or lower rankings, consistent with the near-certainty of a top-five finish.
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$2,820,243শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment assigns the highest implied probability to 2026 finishing as the second-warmest year on record, driven by January–March global temperatures ranking fourth highest in NOAA analyses alongside model projections centering near 1.47 °C above the pre-industrial baseline. Ongoing anthropogenic warming and the anticipated transition to El Niño conditions later in 2026 provide a modest upward boost to remaining months, yet most ensemble forecasts keep the annual anomaly below 2024’s peak. This leaves a narrower path to first place and sharply lower odds for third or lower rankings, consistent with the near-certainty of a top-five finish.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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