FIFA president Gianni Infantino’s late-April confirmation that Iran’s national team will contest all three 2026 World Cup group-stage matches on U.S. soil has anchored trader consensus for no replacement at 85.6 percent. Iran’s football federation reiterated its firm commitment to participate while voicing only logistical concerns over visas and flag protocols, which FIFA and host organizers have signaled will be resolved without altering the qualified slot. Italy’s outright rejection of any replacement role and the AFC’s established qualification order further dampen outside chances, leaving the UAE at 3.9 percent as the next plausible alternate under existing regulations. While an unprecedented formal withdrawal or visa blockade remains theoretically possible, recent official statements and FIFA’s discretionary authority to maintain field stability continue to outweigh those low-probability scenarios.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNo Replacement 91.5%
Italy 5.0%
UAE 2.9%
Other <1%
$33,609 Vol.
$33,609 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
92%
Italy
5%
UAE
3%
Other
1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 91.5%
Italy 5.0%
UAE 2.9%
Other <1%
$33,609 Vol.
$33,609 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
$10,631 Vol.
92%
Italy
$15,896 Vol.
5%
UAE
$3,021 Vol.
3%
Other
$2,340 Vol.
1%
Bolivia
$1,721 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA president Gianni Infantino’s late-April confirmation that Iran’s national team will contest all three 2026 World Cup group-stage matches on U.S. soil has anchored trader consensus for no replacement at 85.6 percent. Iran’s football federation reiterated its firm commitment to participate while voicing only logistical concerns over visas and flag protocols, which FIFA and host organizers have signaled will be resolved without altering the qualified slot. Italy’s outright rejection of any replacement role and the AFC’s established qualification order further dampen outside chances, leaving the UAE at 3.9 percent as the next plausible alternate under existing regulations. While an unprecedented formal withdrawal or visa blockade remains theoretically possible, recent official statements and FIFA’s discretionary authority to maintain field stability continue to outweigh those low-probability scenarios.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$33,609শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA president Gianni Infantino’s late-April confirmation that Iran’s national team will contest all three 2026 World Cup group-stage matches on U.S. soil has anchored trader consensus for no replacement at 85.6 percent. Iran’s football federation reiterated its firm commitment to participate while voicing only logistical concerns over visas and flag protocols, which FIFA and host organizers have signaled will be resolved without altering the qualified slot. Italy’s outright rejection of any replacement role and the AFC’s established qualification order further dampen outside chances, leaving the UAE at 3.9 percent as the next plausible alternate under existing regulations. While an unprecedented formal withdrawal or visa blockade remains theoretically possible, recent official statements and FIFA’s discretionary authority to maintain field stability continue to outweigh those low-probability scenarios.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$33,609শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA president Gianni Infantino’s late-April confirmation that Iran’s national team will contest all three 2026 World Cup group-stage matches on U.S. soil has anchored trader consensus for no replacement at 85.6 percent. Iran’s football federation reiterated its firm commitment to participate while voicing only logistical concerns over visas and flag protocols, which FIFA and host organizers have signaled will be resolved without altering the qualified slot. Italy’s outright rejection of any replacement role and the AFC’s established qualification order further dampen outside chances, leaving the UAE at 3.9 percent as the next plausible alternate under existing regulations. While an unprecedented formal withdrawal or visa blockade remains theoretically possible, recent official statements and FIFA’s discretionary authority to maintain field stability continue to outweigh those low-probability scenarios.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা