Ongoing immigration enforcement actions and DOJ investigations into former intelligence and law enforcement officials shape trader assessments for arrests by the end of 2026. Mahmoud Khalil faces active deportation proceedings following his 2025 ICE detention tied to campus activism, with 2026 appeals court rulings returning the case to immigration courts and preserving the possibility of renewed custody. Separate probes targeting John Brennan center on congressional testimony and prior intelligence assessments, including grand jury subpoenas and related litigation filed in mid-2026. Comparable cases involving other listed figures remain at earlier stages of review or have seen limited recent procedural movement. The compressed timeline to January 2027 elevates the weight of any imminent indictments, court rulings, or administrative decisions in these matters.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$364,848 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
12%
John Brennan
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
23%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
1%
James Comey
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
26%
James Clapper
13%
Letitia James
13%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
3%
Loretta Lynch
10%
Susan Rice
8%
Candace Owens
6%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
3%
Pam Bondi
5%
Tom Homan
11%
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
10%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$364,848 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
$135,427 Vol.
12%
John Brennan
$18,168 Vol.
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$21,677 Vol.
23%
Adam Schiff
$16,394 Vol.
3%
Barack Obama
$28,805 Vol.
1%
James Comey
$9,602 Vol.
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,278 Vol.
26%
James Clapper
$6,726 Vol.
13%
Letitia James
$2,821 Vol.
13%
Hillary Clinton
$25,009 Vol.
3%
Bill Clinton
$2,008 Vol.
3%
Loretta Lynch
$2,376 Vol.
10%
Susan Rice
$304 Vol.
8%
Candace Owens
$263 Vol.
6%
Gavin Newsom
$37,157 Vol.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,789 Vol.
5%
John Kerry
$346 Vol.
3%
Pam Bondi
$1,998 Vol.
5%
Tom Homan
$39,428 Vol.
11%
Kash Patel
$530 Vol.
3%
Brandon Johnson
$3,191 Vol.
12%
Lisa Cook
$3,218 Vol.
10%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 Vol.
11%
Joe Biden
$5,538 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing immigration enforcement actions and DOJ investigations into former intelligence and law enforcement officials shape trader assessments for arrests by the end of 2026. Mahmoud Khalil faces active deportation proceedings following his 2025 ICE detention tied to campus activism, with 2026 appeals court rulings returning the case to immigration courts and preserving the possibility of renewed custody. Separate probes targeting John Brennan center on congressional testimony and prior intelligence assessments, including grand jury subpoenas and related litigation filed in mid-2026. Comparable cases involving other listed figures remain at earlier stages of review or have seen limited recent procedural movement. The compressed timeline to January 2027 elevates the weight of any imminent indictments, court rulings, or administrative decisions in these matters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
ভলিউম
$364,848মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing immigration enforcement actions and DOJ investigations into former intelligence and law enforcement officials shape trader assessments for arrests by the end of 2026. Mahmoud Khalil faces active deportation proceedings following his 2025 ICE detention tied to campus activism, with 2026 appeals court rulings returning the case to immigration courts and preserving the possibility of renewed custody. Separate probes targeting John Brennan center on congressional testimony and prior intelligence assessments, including grand jury subpoenas and related litigation filed in mid-2026. Comparable cases involving other listed figures remain at earlier stages of review or have seen limited recent procedural movement. The compressed timeline to January 2027 elevates the weight of any imminent indictments, court rulings, or administrative decisions in these matters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$364,848মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing immigration enforcement actions and DOJ investigations into former intelligence and law enforcement officials shape trader assessments for arrests by the end of 2026. Mahmoud Khalil faces active deportation proceedings following his 2025 ICE detention tied to campus activism, with 2026 appeals court rulings returning the case to immigration courts and preserving the possibility of renewed custody. Separate probes targeting John Brennan center on congressional testimony and prior intelligence assessments, including grand jury subpoenas and related litigation filed in mid-2026. Comparable cases involving other listed figures remain at earlier stages of review or have seen limited recent procedural movement. The compressed timeline to January 2027 elevates the weight of any imminent indictments, court rulings, or administrative decisions in these matters.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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