The market's strong consensus around Islam Makhachev stems from his proven championship pedigree at lightweight and the realistic possibility of a move to welterweight by late 2026, where his grappling control and finishing ability could dominate the division. Recent title defenses and training camp reports have reinforced this positioning, while Carlos Prates and Ian Machado Garry have climbed on the strength of consistent recent wins and stylistic advantages against current welterweight contenders. Michael Morales follows closely due to his rising record and recent form, though established veterans like Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards receive minimal support amid questions over activity levels and matchup history. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these implied probabilities accounts for unpredictable factors such as injuries or upsets that could still shift the landscape.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIslam Makhachev 81%
Carlos Prates 19.9%
Michael Morales 19.6%
Ian Machado Garry 18.6%
$40,303 Vol.
$40,303 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
81%
Carlos Prates
19%
Michael Morales
11%
Ian Machado Garry
12%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Islam Makhachev 81%
Carlos Prates 19.9%
Michael Morales 19.6%
Ian Machado Garry 18.6%
$40,303 Vol.
$40,303 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
81%
Carlos Prates
19%
Michael Morales
11%
Ian Machado Garry
12%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The market's strong consensus around Islam Makhachev stems from his proven championship pedigree at lightweight and the realistic possibility of a move to welterweight by late 2026, where his grappling control and finishing ability could dominate the division. Recent title defenses and training camp reports have reinforced this positioning, while Carlos Prates and Ian Machado Garry have climbed on the strength of consistent recent wins and stylistic advantages against current welterweight contenders. Michael Morales follows closely due to his rising record and recent form, though established veterans like Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards receive minimal support amid questions over activity levels and matchup history. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these implied probabilities accounts for unpredictable factors such as injuries or upsets that could still shift the landscape.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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