Tropical Storm Lowell, currently at 45-50 kt with moderate easterly shear displacing convection, is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to strengthen gradually over the next 24-48 hours as vertical wind shear decreases and it tracks westward over warm central Pacific waters. Most guidance supports Lowell reaching hurricane intensity (64 kt) by early September, with faster intensification possible thereafter absent major disruptions. Trader consensus at 60.7% for yes reflects this NHC and model outlook but incorporates uncertainty from potential interaction with nearby Hurricane Karina, which could alter steering or expose Lowell to increased shear depending on track divergence. Recent satellite trends show modestly improving outflow, though convective organization remains limited. Upcoming model runs and intensity guidance will likely refine probabilities ahead of the storm's closest approach to the Hawaiian Islands region.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Tropical Storm Lowell strengthen to a hurricane?
Will Tropical Storm Lowell strengthen to a hurricane?
61% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 8, 2026
61% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 8, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tropical Storm Lowell reaches hurricane strength at any point between market creation and September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Lowell reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Lowell is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If Lowell does not reach hurricane strength by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No".Tropical Storm Lowell, currently at 45-50 kt with moderate easterly shear displacing convection, is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to strengthen gradually over the next 24-48 hours as vertical wind shear decreases and it tracks westward over warm central Pacific waters. Most guidance supports Lowell reaching hurricane intensity (64 kt) by early September, with faster intensification possible thereafter absent major disruptions. Trader consensus at 60.7% for yes reflects this NHC and model outlook but incorporates uncertainty from potential interaction with nearby Hurricane Karina, which could alter steering or expose Lowell to increased shear depending on track divergence. Recent satellite trends show modestly improving outflow, though convective organization remains limited. Upcoming model runs and intensity guidance will likely refine probabilities ahead of the storm's closest approach to the Hawaiian Islands region.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tropical Storm Lowell reaches hurricane strength at any point between market creation and September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Lowell reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Lowell is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If Lowell does not reach hurricane strength by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No".
Lowell reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Lowell is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If Lowell does not reach hurricane strength by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$3,457শেষ তারিখ
Sep 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/রেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tropical Storm Lowell reaches hurricane strength at any point between market creation and September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Lowell reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Lowell is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If Lowell does not reach hurricane strength by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No".Tropical Storm Lowell, currently at 45-50 kt with moderate easterly shear displacing convection, is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to strengthen gradually over the next 24-48 hours as vertical wind shear decreases and it tracks westward over warm central Pacific waters. Most guidance supports Lowell reaching hurricane intensity (64 kt) by early September, with faster intensification possible thereafter absent major disruptions. Trader consensus at 60.7% for yes reflects this NHC and model outlook but incorporates uncertainty from potential interaction with nearby Hurricane Karina, which could alter steering or expose Lowell to increased shear depending on track divergence. Recent satellite trends show modestly improving outflow, though convective organization remains limited. Upcoming model runs and intensity guidance will likely refine probabilities ahead of the storm's closest approach to the Hawaiian Islands region.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tropical Storm Lowell reaches hurricane strength at any point between market creation and September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Lowell reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Lowell is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If Lowell does not reach hurricane strength by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No".
Lowell reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Lowell is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If Lowell does not reach hurricane strength by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No".
ভলিউম
$3,457শেষ তারিখ
Sep 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/রেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Tropical Storm Lowell, currently at 45-50 kt with moderate easterly shear displacing convection, is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to strengthen gradually over the next 24-48 hours as vertical wind shear decreases and it tracks westward over warm central Pacific waters. Most guidance supports Lowell reaching hurricane intensity (64 kt) by early September, with faster intensification possible thereafter absent major disruptions. Trader consensus at 60.7% for yes reflects this NHC and model outlook but incorporates uncertainty from potential interaction with nearby Hurricane Karina, which could alter steering or expose Lowell to increased shear depending on track divergence. Recent satellite trends show modestly improving outflow, though convective organization remains limited. Upcoming model runs and intensity guidance will likely refine probabilities ahead of the storm's closest approach to the Hawaiian Islands region.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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