The 11-second benchmark set by Hakan Şükür in 2002 remains exceptionally difficult to eclipse because opening-kickoff sequences rarely produce immediate, uncontested chances against organized backlines. Early tournament matches, including Mexico’s opener against South Africa, have featured first goals well beyond the one-minute mark, reflecting cautious group-stage approaches and standard set-piece execution. While the 48-team format creates occasional mismatches, historical data shows only a handful of goals inside 60 seconds across prior editions, and none approaching record pace in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94% “No” reflects this low per-match probability across the remaining schedule, absent unusual circumstances such as an immediate defensive lapse or short-corner routine.