The elevated 79% implied probability for the first penalty being made in the 2026 World Cup stems primarily from long-established conversion rates in FIFA tournaments and major international fixtures, where spot-kick success typically lands between 75-82%. Opening-round matchups feature rested squads with experienced set-piece specialists and minimal reported injuries to designated takers, while goalkeepers face added pressure in high-stakes early games. Historical patterns from recent World Cup cycles and continental qualifiers show that first penalties often occur in favorable conditions before fatigue or tactical adjustments alter dynamics, aligning trader consensus with these baseline success rates rather than outlier misses.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMade
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 20, 2026
Made
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 20, 2026
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The elevated 79% implied probability for the first penalty being made in the 2026 World Cup stems primarily from long-established conversion rates in FIFA tournaments and major international fixtures, where spot-kick success typically lands between 75-82%. Opening-round matchups feature rested squads with experienced set-piece specialists and minimal reported injuries to designated takers, while goalkeepers face added pressure in high-stakes early games. Historical patterns from recent World Cup cycles and continental qualifiers show that first penalties often occur in favorable conditions before fatigue or tactical adjustments alter dynamics, aligning trader consensus with these baseline success rates rather than outlier misses.
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
ভলিউম
$6,124শেষ তারিখ
Jul 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The elevated 79% implied probability for the first penalty being made in the 2026 World Cup stems primarily from long-established conversion rates in FIFA tournaments and major international fixtures, where spot-kick success typically lands between 75-82%. Opening-round matchups feature rested squads with experienced set-piece specialists and minimal reported injuries to designated takers, while goalkeepers face added pressure in high-stakes early games. Historical patterns from recent World Cup cycles and continental qualifiers show that first penalties often occur in favorable conditions before fatigue or tactical adjustments alter dynamics, aligning trader consensus with these baseline success rates rather than outlier misses.
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$6,124শেষ তারিখ
Jul 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The elevated 79% implied probability for the first penalty being made in the 2026 World Cup stems primarily from long-established conversion rates in FIFA tournaments and major international fixtures, where spot-kick success typically lands between 75-82%. Opening-round matchups feature rested squads with experienced set-piece specialists and minimal reported injuries to designated takers, while goalkeepers face added pressure in high-stakes early games. Historical patterns from recent World Cup cycles and continental qualifiers show that first penalties often occur in favorable conditions before fatigue or tactical adjustments alter dynamics, aligning trader consensus with these baseline success rates rather than outlier misses.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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