France enters the 2026 World Cup as the clear Group I favorite thanks to its deep squad, multiple World Cup titles, and recent final appearances, giving it the edge in a four-team group also featuring Norway, Senegal, and Iraq. Norway sits second in trader pricing on the back of Erling Haaland’s scoring form and its dominant UEFA qualifying campaign. Senegal draws support from its organized defense, recent continental success, and competitive head-to-head history against European sides. Iraq remains a distant outsider given its lower FIFA ranking and limited recent results against top opposition. With matches beginning in mid-June across U.S. and Canadian venues, current implied probabilities reflect established team strengths and recent qualifying momentum rather than any late roster changes.