The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 18.3%
Spanien 16.7%
England 11.3%
Brasilien 9.2%
$1,011,997,315 Vol.
$1,011,997,315 Vol.
20. Juli 2026
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
18%
Spanien
17%
England
11%
Brasilien
9%
Argentinien
8%
Portugal
8%
Deutschland
5%
Niederlande
3%
Norwegen
2%
Japan
2%
Belgien
2%
Kolumbien
2%
USA
2%
Marokko
2%
Schweiz
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexiko
1%
Kroatien
1%
Ecuador
1%
Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%
Türkei
1%
Österreich
1%
Schweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Südkorea
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%
Schottland
<1%
Elfenbeinküste
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algerien
<1%
Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%
Tschechien
<1%
Australien
<1%
Neuseeland
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordanien
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%
Usbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Südafrika
<1%
DR Kongo
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 18.3%
Spanien 16.7%
England 11.3%
Brasilien 9.2%
$1,011,997,315 Vol.
$1,011,997,315 Vol.
20. Juli 2026
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
$27,219,992 Vol.
18%
Spanien
$21,343,856 Vol.
17%
England
$17,550,128 Vol.
11%
Brasilien
$18,880,905 Vol.
9%
Argentinien
$18,459,035 Vol.
8%
Portugal
$20,167,894 Vol.
8%
Deutschland
$17,190,878 Vol.
5%
Niederlande
$19,279,652 Vol.
3%
Norwegen
$17,737,476 Vol.
2%
Japan
$22,031,701 Vol.
2%
Belgien
$16,847,376 Vol.
2%
Kolumbien
$15,731,000 Vol.
2%
USA
$32,308,619 Vol.
2%
Marokko
$20,669,190 Vol.
2%
Schweiz
$18,459,413 Vol.
1%
Uruguay
$17,945,415 Vol.
1%
Mexiko
$19,620,054 Vol.
1%
Kroatien
$21,536,475 Vol.
1%
Ecuador
$21,973,648 Vol.
1%
Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
$17,605,661 Vol.
1%
Türkei
$10,980,998 Vol.
1%
Österreich
$18,774,270 Vol.
1%
Schweden
$9,937,284 Vol.
1%
Kanada
$23,046,868 Vol.
<1%
Südkorea
$24,522,261 Vol.
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
$19,721,105 Vol.
<1%
Schottland
$18,678,058 Vol.
<1%
Elfenbeinküste
$23,361,370 Vol.
<1%
Ägypten
$23,771,448 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$18,245,408 Vol.
<1%
Algerien
$21,921,486 Vol.
<1%
Bosnien-Herzegowina
$10,799,410 Vol.
<1%
Tschechien
$9,493,642 Vol.
<1%
Australien
$23,920,795 Vol.
<1%
Neuseeland
$31,142,414 Vol.
<1%
Haiti
$18,011,334 Vol.
<1%
Jordanien
$26,143,420 Vol.
<1%
Curaçao
$36,706,703 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$24,894,596 Vol.
<1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
$22,369,290 Vol.
<1%
Usbekistan
$39,006,863 Vol.
<1%
Panama
$13,129,213 Vol.
<1%
Irak
$12,712,641 Vol.
<1%
Südafrika
$27,145,682 Vol.
<1%
DR Kongo
$16,526,528 Vol.
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
$23,155,641 Vol.
<1%
Katar
$24,773,690 Vol.
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
$27,734,416 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volumen
$1,011,997,315Enddatum
20. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,011,997,315Enddatum
20. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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