The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 18.3%
Spanien 16.7%
England 11.3%
Brasilien 9.2%
$1,012,131,789 Vol.
$1,012,131,789 Vol.
20. Juli 2026
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
18%
Spanien
17%
England
11%
Brasilien
9%
Argentinien
8%
Portugal
8%
Deutschland
5%
Niederlande
3%
Norwegen
2%
Japan
2%
Belgien
2%
Kolumbien
2%
USA
2%
Marokko
2%
Schweiz
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexiko
1%
Kroatien
1%
Ecuador
1%
Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%
Türkei
1%
Österreich
1%
Schweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Südkorea
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%
Schottland
<1%
Elfenbeinküste
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algerien
<1%
Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%
Tschechien
<1%
Australien
<1%
Neuseeland
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordanien
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%
Usbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Südafrika
<1%
DR Kongo
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 18.3%
Spanien 16.7%
England 11.3%
Brasilien 9.2%
$1,012,131,789 Vol.
$1,012,131,789 Vol.
20. Juli 2026
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
$27,220,181 Vol.
18%
Spanien
$21,343,862 Vol.
17%
England
$17,550,188 Vol.
11%
Brasilien
$18,880,905 Vol.
9%
Argentinien
$18,459,035 Vol.
8%
Portugal
$20,171,021 Vol.
8%
Deutschland
$17,190,987 Vol.
5%
Niederlande
$19,280,073 Vol.
3%
Norwegen
$17,740,702 Vol.
2%
Japan
$22,031,913 Vol.
2%
Belgien
$16,849,526 Vol.
2%
Kolumbien
$15,731,000 Vol.
2%
USA
$32,308,619 Vol.
2%
Marokko
$20,669,398 Vol.
2%
Schweiz
$18,459,496 Vol.
1%
Uruguay
$17,945,475 Vol.
1%
Mexiko
$19,620,130 Vol.
1%
Kroatien
$21,542,301 Vol.
1%
Ecuador
$21,973,713 Vol.
1%
Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
$17,605,721 Vol.
1%
Türkei
$10,981,058 Vol.
1%
Österreich
$18,774,270 Vol.
1%
Schweden
$9,939,021 Vol.
1%
Kanada
$23,046,870 Vol.
<1%
Südkorea
$24,522,380 Vol.
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
$19,721,105 Vol.
<1%
Schottland
$18,678,134 Vol.
<1%
Elfenbeinküste
$23,361,371 Vol.
<1%
Ägypten
$23,771,746 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$18,245,597 Vol.
<1%
Algerien
$21,921,486 Vol.
<1%
Bosnien-Herzegowina
$10,799,730 Vol.
<1%
Tschechien
$9,493,645 Vol.
<1%
Australien
$23,920,795 Vol.
<1%
Neuseeland
$31,142,821 Vol.
<1%
Haiti
$18,011,334 Vol.
<1%
Jordanien
$26,143,706 Vol.
<1%
Curaçao
$36,706,754 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$24,894,596 Vol.
<1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
$22,369,572 Vol.
<1%
Usbekistan
$39,006,923 Vol.
<1%
Panama
$13,129,295 Vol.
<1%
Irak
$12,712,989 Vol.
<1%
Südafrika
$27,145,744 Vol.
<1%
DR Kongo
$16,526,591 Vol.
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
$23,156,157 Vol.
<1%
Katar
$24,773,801 Vol.
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
$27,734,478 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volumen
$1,012,131,789Enddatum
20. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,012,131,789Enddatum
20. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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