Jannik Sinner enters the 2026 French Open as the clear leader in trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, driven by his status as world No. 1 and recent dominance across surfaces, including improved clay-court results that position him for a career Grand Slam. Multiple high-profile withdrawals have reshaped the draw, most notably defending champion Carlos Alcaraz's April exit with a wrist injury, alongside Lorenzo Musetti's thigh issue and Holger Rune's Achilles recovery. Alexander Zverev holds the next spot at 7.4% amid his own recent injury concerns, while Novak Djokovic at 4.9% offers veteran clay experience as a potential spoiler. The field remains competitive below the top tier, with younger contenders like Arthur Fils and Rafael Jodar reflecting modest upset potential in a tournament where form, rest, and surface-specific matchups will decide outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJannik Sinner 69%
Alexander Zverev 7.4%
Novak Djokovic 4.9%
Rafael Jodar 4.7%
$25,520,636 Vol.
$25,520,636 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
69%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Novak Djokovic
5%
Rafael Jodar
5%
Arthur Fils
3%
Casper Ruud
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Alex De Minaur
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
Learner Tien
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Jannik Sinner 69%
Alexander Zverev 7.4%
Novak Djokovic 4.9%
Rafael Jodar 4.7%
$25,520,636 Vol.
$25,520,636 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
69%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Novak Djokovic
5%
Rafael Jodar
5%
Arthur Fils
3%
Casper Ruud
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Alex De Minaur
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
Learner Tien
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner enters the 2026 French Open as the clear leader in trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, driven by his status as world No. 1 and recent dominance across surfaces, including improved clay-court results that position him for a career Grand Slam. Multiple high-profile withdrawals have reshaped the draw, most notably defending champion Carlos Alcaraz's April exit with a wrist injury, alongside Lorenzo Musetti's thigh issue and Holger Rune's Achilles recovery. Alexander Zverev holds the next spot at 7.4% amid his own recent injury concerns, while Novak Djokovic at 4.9% offers veteran clay experience as a potential spoiler. The field remains competitive below the top tier, with younger contenders like Arthur Fils and Rafael Jodar reflecting modest upset potential in a tournament where form, rest, and surface-specific matchups will decide outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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